Monday, 3 November 2014

03 November 2014: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday – ICICIBANK, TATAMOTORS and LT

ICICIBANK (1626.65)
Buy above 1580/SL 1568/ Target 1610-1630|| Sell below 1562/ SL 1572/ Target 1550-1540

TATAMOTORS (535.85)
Buy above 536/SL 533/Target 542-545||Sell below 532/ SL 535/ Target 524

LT (1655.45)
Buy above 1660/ SL 1650/ Target 1680-1700||Sell below 1648/ SL 1657/ Target 1632-1620

03 November 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: We may see possible top at 8416 levels but higher levels demands caution. Technical support – 8180-8200 !!!

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 03 November 2014: -

On 31 October 2014, FII Bought INR 1754.73 crs and DII Sold INR 276.49 crs
Above 8182, Nifty has generated a fresh up wave which is impulsive in nature. We saw many gaps up in past 10 trading sessions. A possible top may emerge at 8416. A cross above 8416 may trigger for more upside. We may see another gap up today also. This may irritate those traders who do not prefer to hold over night positions.
Moving forwards, Nifty will see support at 8180 to 8200 levels which was acting as resistance earlier. One needs to note that even after sharp rise, we have not seen any short signal yet on Nifty. A short was coming on Bank Nifty but that’s also moved above 17k marks to turn to buy.
For today’s trading session, opening may come in the range of 8350 levels. It is obvious to expect higher levels after a new all-time high. As of now, I am expecting Nifty to come near to 8416 levels which is 100% retrenchment of wave ‘1’. I still just not prefer to buy the rise as it is heavily overbought in short term chart. Hourly charts are advising caution for intraday trade from impulsive waves.
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Strategy for Nifty November future – We may see opening near 8400 levels. We saw run from 7760 to 8400 levels too fast in too furious way. Almost 30% rise came in gap up mode. Most important is that almost every technical trigger goes in gap up and none has filled yet. I again suggest waiting for intraday updates for better technical view point. So far, it’s up and buy. There is no short signal.  

S&P 500 (USA) – When S&P was below 1850 and everyone was bearish, I said for buy. Now, when everyone is so bullish, I am saying reverse. Do not buy. Above 2020, a rise is possible towards 2040 but nothing can sustain on rise. A quick dip may come after making a top. Let the rise go on. So far, sell signal has not came but it is close to form that only due to sharp rise. A possible 60-70 points dip may come sooner. 

NIFTY weekly analysis for 03 November’14 to 07 November’14


Elliott wave theory: It was predicted to expect rise towards 8100-8181 and a cross above 8181 could change wave structure. It goes in same way. We will start week at 8320+ levels. Next meaningful resistance or a figure to top may come at 8416. This is if wave 5 retrace completely of wave 1. Do not buy rise as we have many gap up in past 10 days. We have just three trading days in this week.
Market cycle: We can expect some more gain on Nifty this week due to global strength too. We have five weeks of dip and three weeks of rise so far.
Technical indicators: Key momentum indicators are on ‘no harm for bulls’ mode. Hence, I am still not worried about any big negative divergence.

Charting pattern: Here is something which can disturb bulls. Rise from 7720 to 8320 is full 600 points. It has no correction and it have many gap up. This makes market vulnerable near top. A top can come with at 8416 or nearby. Above 8416, a quick-fire rise can hit.