Thursday, 7 May 2015

07 May 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Next decisive support will emerge at 8030 to 8000 levels. Can it recover?

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

For 07 May 2015: -
On 06 May 2015, FII Sold INR 1699.60 crs and DII Bought INR 1454.97 crs
It took a gap down and broken 200 DMA. Nifty has not stopped even after that and hit a low at 8083 before closing near to day’s low. Nifty is almost at the lowest point of past four months. Now Indian market is in firm grip of panic. Investors are moving out from the stocks of every sector.  
Shall we believe for recovery? I believe that a short term bottom may emerge by today or tomorrow. Still it is difficult to judge in term of magnitude of fall or rise for today. As of now it seems that momentum can take Nifty near to 8000 levels but shorting can have higher degree of risk.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a gap down. I have no forward position so I plan to take decision depending on intraday development. Trading support can be at 8030 and 8000 levels. No higher levels can be safe anymore. Unless some strong positive divergence comes, we cannot think about sustainable recovery. I like to see how short term bottom will come. It must come today or tomorrow.
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Strategy for Nifty May future – We can expect opening around 8100 levels. The next trading support can be at 8060 and at 8020 levels. I have no plan for long or short as of now but if I find it suitable I may opt to add some long. A short term recovery should come by today or tomorrow.

S&P 500 (USA) – I had a short from near to 2110 levels which was stopped out in unfortunate way. After that we saw a dip and my desired dip. Now it is on such a level where it is already down by more than a percent from sell signal levels. I still do not prefer to short this dip. This is due to lack of clarity over sell signal. I am not advising shorting at current levels.  

07 May 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: BHEL, HDFC and INFY

BHEL (229.70)
Buy above 233/SL 231/ Target 237-239|| Sell below 228/ SL 230/ Target 225-223

HDFC (1163.60)
Buy above 1175/SL 1168/Target 1190 ||Sell below 1150/ SL 1158/ Target 1130

INFY (1922.05)

Buy above 1935/SL 1926/Target 1955-1960||Sell below 1910/ SL 1921/ Target 1890