Wednesday 4 February 2015

04 February 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: A bounce may come from one-third correction support which is at 8685. Will rise sustain?

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 04 February 2015: -

On 02 February 2015, FII Sold INR 629.97 crs and DII Sold INR 224.07 crs
RBI has not given further rate cut. It was too much to expect if one was thinking further cut. Technical charts are suggesting that one third correction support may offer a bounce. This one-third correction levels comes at 8685 levels. I have avoided shorting at lower levels and I do not have any over nigh position.
On higher side Nifty will have key resistance at 8840 to 8850 levels. To one extent I can say that market may try to form a double top kind of pattern. If this happens then we can expect Nifty going near to 8996 levels again. This is not a compulsion. Double top may be lower also. It is still clear that above 8800 it should try to test 8850 levels.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a higher opening but this may not be too higher. We may get some intraday dip to neutralise gap up. In intraday dip one may try to pick up out performing stocks to buy. Banking and reality stocks will be interesting to watch. I repeat, do not short blindly.
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Strategy for Nifty February future – Above 8860, we can expect Nifty to go higher towards 8900 to 8930 levels. If it comes with gap up then I will prefer to wait for one pull back. Technical support will be 8770 to 8750 levels. Let us see what is going to happen. I will prefer to buy at least one dip.   

S&P 500 (USA) – This is what I was expecting. It again took a move towards 2050 marks. I still say that just like past all this rise may get sold at these levels. This is my caution which is advised at current levels. I must say that traders must wait for the cross of 2100 levels to think to buy. This is multi month consolidation and result may favour bears. I will wait for weakness at higher levels to add short. 

04 February 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: ARVIND, TATAMOTORS and HDIL

ARVIND (300.15)
Buy above 302/SL 299/ Target 310|| Sell below 296/ SL 298/ Target 292-290

TATAMOTORS (603.30)
Buy above 608/SL 603/Target 617-625||Sell below 595/ SL 599/ Target 588-585

HDIL (105.15)

Buy above 107/SL 106/Target 110-111||Sell below 104/ SL 105/ Target 102-100