Monday, 10 November 2014
10 November 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: A top is still on hunt but we are getting sign of sluggishness only. Technical support 8290 and technical resistance is 8416.
You must read previous articles and watch the given chart
carefully to understand this article completely.
For 10 November 2014: -
On 05 November 2014, FII Bought INR 1030.85 crs and DII Sold
INR 1204.63 crs
We have not seen any great sign of pullback yet. It came in
the last trading session but last hour rise was a neutralizer. So far, Nifty
has seen a high at 8365 last week which will also act as meaningful
psychological resistance. Above which we may add a possibility of further rise
towards 8416 levels. I derived 8416 from a different wave pattern but I will
still stick with it as it’s based on price retrenchment.
Based on wave theory we have resistance at 8416 on Nifty
which is only a meaningful technical resistance to talk about. It does not
matter if top comes at 8350 or over shoot above 8416. Short term chart is
heavily over bought in the absence of any price correction.
For today’s trading session, we may see opening on positive
note again. I believe that higher opening will offer resistance immediately. If
it goes above 8366 then we may see some more rises but it need to sustain tall
above 8366 first. Time for correction has already come now it is the matter of
time before correction. On Friday, we quoted a support of 8290 and we saw a dot
low at that points itself.
Please visit our ‘intraday updates’ to get further updates or
to take good advantage join paid services.
Strategy for Nifty November
future – It may have
another optimistic opening today as indicated by SGX Nifty. It may open in the
range of 8410. Immediate resistance will emerge at 8430. Cross above 8430 may
offer some more rise. For bears, Nifty November future needs to sustain below
8320 first which is too far right now. Time for correction is ‘ON’ and so I will
not prefer to trade long. It is better to be on side line if it remains
positive.
S&P 500 (USA) – I have already quoted for a target
of 2045 on rise. Top can be either at 2045 or may be before that. It may be
named as microphone pattern based on which I was bullish in the zone of 1850. If
that was a support then 2045 will equally a tougher resistance. As of now,
break below 2010 will also confirm the possible dip. It must come by this week
itself.
NIFTY weekly analysis for 10 November’14 to 14 November’14
Elliott wave theory: first of all, I have remarked on
wave marking as shown in given chart. Recent dip which gave us a low of 7724
should be treated as wave end point of wave 4. We were bullish since those
levels due to massive buy signal. I still believe that recent top can be either
at 8416 or before that only.
Market cycle: Global market may be on the last
phase of rise. In general, global market used to take a dip in post QE effect.
S&P used to take a dip at least after a month.
Technical indicators: Now, it is the time to count for
weekly divergence again. A top is sooner as RSI has not moved with any greater
strength.
Charting pattern: I still believe that zone of 8350 to
8416 will a zone of short. Charting patterns are indicating for sluggish move
before correcting. This upcoming correction can bring down Nifty in the zone of
8100 to 8000 levels.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)