Monday 11 June 2012

11 June '12 NIFTY:Crossover of 200 dma @ 5065 is generating first target @ 5125 and then 5176. Support stand @ 5002>4990. Rise will continue.


You must read previous articles and watch above chart carefully to understand this article completely.

It was quoted on Friday, “this market may give you a feeling for weakness and fall but those levels may trap bears again”. It has done the same, broken 5002 and hit 4994. Then we have seen an extremely sharp reversal. Finally we have seen a close above 200 days moving average.

Now even global cues are turning strong. It was quoted earlier that this rally/recovery would be supported by news flow too. Those news flows are coming from European market. It seems that we are going to see some good gap up. It may be as big as 1%.

Nifty is expected to hit near 5125 now. If it sustain above 5125 then we can expect a test of 5176 levels.

5176 = 1.618% retrenchment from 4770.35 (Against the fall from 5020 to 4770)

            It is not going to be easy to make a cross above 5176 in one go. We may expect pause on or before 5176 levels. Only time can answer this question. As of now market seems to continue with rise. I will decide about the possibility of ‘fall from resistance’ during trading hours only. There is nothing on the chart which can suggest for dip or profit taking.

My view is cautiously long side. I may trail my long position with stop loss at 5090 after a gap up opening.

Are the fundamentals really supporting this rally/recovery?
I have no doubt that fundamentals are not supporting this rally/recovery. Hence, we are forced to see a fall from higher levels. This rise is just technical in nature with some good news flow.

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Thanks & Regards,
Praveen Kumar
Mobile number – 09893369889