You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to
understand this article completely.
13 February 2017: -
On 10 February 2017: FII Net Bought – 504.51 INR Crs: DII Net Sold – INR – 224.76 Crs
We are into a great week. Nifty is close to 8800 with many hopes and
some fear. Well, so far it is looking all up and there is no down signal. It has
respected support of 8740 to 8700 levels. It is fair to talk about 8900 as a
good possibility. Market momentum will decide if we can get 9000 or not. We may
get some soft short signal during intraday session but most of them misguide
only. Take a note that until and unless it does not slip below 8660 there
cannot be meaningful signal for weakness.
For today’s trading I am expecting Nifty to open on positive note as
indicated by SGX Nifty. It is primarily due to massive rally in global market. From
past one month Nifty is out performing global indices. Even now all global
futures are up and hence I am expecting a good day for bulls. Simple, expect
8900 at least and support to come at 8740-8700 levels.
Warning sign must be here from February top. It may prove to be a
counter trend rally on long term count.
This remains part of my article. We may be under bear market till 31st
March 2017 and what I am talking is a pullback of bear market on medium term
wave count. Someone asked me if global market is up how can Indian market be
down? Well, that’s the way and that’s what Elliott wave has convinced me.
I am just writing my view and I am least interested in learning or
sharing so please do not make sure request.
Do not misinterpret. I gave a long term trend as down from more than a
year back. Nifty hit 9119 and then I issued for a long term top. Nifty hits a
low at 6825 on Budget day this year. After such down side, wave theory had
suggested for comparable recovery with three big possibilities for
retrenchments, first to come at 50% at 8000, 61.80% at 8250 and 76.40% at 8575
101%, I retain my view for long term trend down but that does not says
that we cannot interprets for short to medium term of recovery. This recovery
was bound to come and it is coming to make a wave [B]. Now, just imagine the
magnitude of wave [C]. Higher the retrenchment, bigger fall will hit in future.
If this wave [B] tries to end up near 9000 then 9119 may not be visible for
many years. So, where is my long term target on Nifty? Well, it is in the zone
of 6000-5500.
Strategy for Nifty February
future – There is no need to change analysis for today. 8900 is still a
possibility? Yes, it is in the race. As global indices are highly up so we can
expect market to remain up. After opening it will get support at 8820-8800
levels for intraday. Let us see what it can hit.
BANK NIFTY February future –
It is comparatively tired but still in the race. We long as it is above 20000, I
have reasons to believe for 21000 levels. It looks as buy in dip. Technical signal
can be neutral to up only as there is no sign for shorting which can sustain
for even three days. Top is sooner or many new top to come? We will get this
answer by this week and this is only confirming thing.
