Wednesday, 26 March 2014

26 March 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: We are just a day away from derivative expiry. This momentum continues as long as 6550 hold for intraday. Expect profit taking from higher levels. Where are those higher levels?

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.



For 26 March 2014: -
On 24 March 2014, FII Bought INR 1465.62 crs and DII Sold INR 770.39 crs
On Tuesday, European Central Bank officials said that they had not ruled out providing further stimulus to support the euro zone as it slowly recovers from the debt crisis. Is it the beginning of new phase of euphoria?
We have derivative expiry of March month series tomorrow. There is no sign of any pullback in this rally so far. Psychologically, it can attract some short covering rise to satisfy charting target of 6625 levels. I must say that conviction is less for this rise to sustain. It is pre-poll rally. Market moved on expectation of stable government. Well, my view is different from market. We are not going to see any stable mandate in general election 2014.
For today’s session again we will see higher opening and then long choppy hours to run. This will make trading difficult. On higher side, profit taking should come but shorting should be done only after technical signals. Crossover of 6625 may attract short covering rise to intensify.
“Will this market ever fall?” Market will fall on the day when least number of people would expect about it. 
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Strategy for Nifty March future – Opening looks like to come near 6630 levels and immediate trading resistance and target may come at 6650-6660 levels. It is hard to expect more. We are just a day before expiry and prefer to stay away from trades as it can trap you in any direction. We are well far away from levels where we can expect any kind of panic sell off. Technical support stands at 6600, and then at 6570.

S&P 500 (USA) – This is another irritating zone. S&P remains choppy in the range of 1884 to 1850. It hit 1850 a day before yesterday and all set to move towards 1884. This zone is not reflecting trend yet. Although, choppy moves near all-high should be treated as bullish. This rally is innocent unless proven guilty. So far, technical support is at 1850. As long as it holds 1850, scope for 1884 is always open. Crossover can give us as big as 1900 + levels. When I am saying 1900 + then I may mean for something like 1940-1950.