Wednesday 4 May 2016

04 May 2016: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: A close below 7750 we live on the edge of panic sell off. Possible target 7600-7540.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

For 04 May 2016: -
On 03 May 2016: FII Net Sold – INR 755.28 Crs:  DII Net Bought – INR – 484.64 Crs
In my language the time is ON as 7750 has broken. Longer it sustain below 7750 we can expect a panic fall. If panic fall does not come then also it will always live with the threat of panic sell off. This makes market uneasy for bulls. Hope readers took the advantage. I repeat the following two liners.
My key expectation is – NIFTY can HIT 7400 by MAY month series and hence I am holding my shorts. Worse possible target can be 7200 too.
For today’s session, market may take a gap down opening. I am expecting opening fairly below 7750 and the next logical target is 7600-7530. I experiment my own trades and I am on hold for my short deals which I took from the resistance of 7980 and added when Nifty was breaking 7900 on downside from higher side.
I hope it gave you the value of following paragraph which remains the part of my daily analysis.
Let me clear what weekly charts are saying. A full 1500 points of fall is possible from 7500 levels. I have no idea if it gives 100% result what it is showing on theory but the target lies near 6000. Sorry, if words hurts you but this is what I feel. I do not see Nifty going at 8000 anymore in easier way.
It looks like H&S pattern is taking its effect. Well, if H&S pattern goes on its true mode then 7200-7100 is the possibility. Meantime Nifty is over sold for short term and intraday chart. This says that market may ignore MACD positive divergence and sooner or later it will hit 7200-7100 levels. After that 6500 will be the figure which people will talk about.
Please visit our ‘intraday updates’ to get further updates or to take good advantage join paid services.
Strategy for Nifty May future – I am holding my shorts from 7950 and that’s makes me safer now. I am not even making frequent deals. If I have to pick intraday trade today then I will pick a short trade. I am not willing to book my short but that depends on the possibility of recovery.

BANK NIFTY – It has broken 16750-16800 levels and then 400 points of crack down. This makes a meaning. For today’s trading session I must inform you that BANK NIFTY is making a short signal two days after Nifty makes a short. From the levels of 15400, I have a possible target of 15000 for the day itself. Let us see. I have no deal on BANK NIFTY yet. I am happy with my Nifty short.