Wednesday 7 February 2018

07 February 2018: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Below 10400, it was overdone and hence a bounce from low. Still, New high may not be challenged sooner.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

Analysis 07 February 2018: -
On 06 February 2018: FII Net Sold – 2326.10 INR Crs:  DII Net Bought – INR – 1699.74 Crs
A low below 10300 was little overdone and this may be the impact of weaker than expected global cues. Technically, a bounce was deserved and it came. Well, I strongly believe that may part of bounce may have done. My wave count based study is suggesting that 10800 may be a strong threshold for bulls now. Do not expect this fall to arrest sooner unless it can stand above 10800 levels.
For today’s trading session, market may open with some optimism although it may not able to extend more gains from here. Medium term and short term resistance will emerge at 10800 levels. In the lower side meaningful support is only at 10400 levels although trading support may emerge at 10500 levels. Trading range is still expected to be broader.
Investment point of view, I have already suggested from December onwards to avoid pumping fresh money in the market as this rise cannot extend more. Remember, every rise is not the opportunity to invest or trading. It’s better to be safer sometime.
Strategy for Nifty February future – It is expected to open around 10600 levels but do not think that it is going to be easily in favour of bulls on the hope of recovery. If recovery comes then also it will sustain at higher levels. Sooner, trading range will settle below yesterday’s low. This is short on rise but exact point cannot be defined.

BANK NIFTY February future – Low was at 25000. Just think how time it took to give up all recent gains. This is what I called is momentum. This is in favour of bears. Technical resistance will emerge at 26500 levels and this may be a difficult level to cross. In the lower side, 25000 will break. Sooner or later it will break at every cost.