Wednesday, 6 May 2015

06 May 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Do not short the gap down as long as it sustain above 200 DMA. A recovery may come in few day’s time.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 06 May 2015: -

On 05 May 2015, FII Sold INR 756.52 crs and DII Bought INR 979.19 crs
Yesterday’s low was just near to 200 DMA before bounce. Fine, it was not too big bounce but it has given close above 200 DMA. Technically we should expect support in this range and a bounce is still expected. Question can be the magnitude of recovery.
We may see some nervous opening today after US sell off but weakness may not sustain longer. We can expect support around 200 DMA which is at 8275 levels. If it sustain below 8275 then we should be concerned. I cannot say that it was just one day of recovery. If not today then also we can expect recovery to begin sooner before any sell off.
For today’s trading session, I have a plan to buy the dip again. Let us see if gap down can able to save at 8275 or not. If not then we can expect support round 8250. I am not expecting any big sell off based on technical chart.  
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Strategy for Nifty May future – SGX Nifty is giving hint for opening around 8325 levels. We can expect immediate support around 8300 levels. This should be an ideal point to buy only with small stop loss as immediate support will emerge at 8280 levels.  

S&P 500 (USA) – Once again it has proved that S&P has resistance at 2120 levels. It has slipped over a percent on last night. Technically, this index is still on massive resistance zone. I do not prefer to trade long at these levels. Close below 2095 has given edge to bears. I still do not find the kind of weakness which I am expecting. Hence, I am not going to short this index as of now. I like to maintain distance from this index. 

06 May 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: TATASTEEL, HINDUNILVR and RCOM

TATASTEEL (380.10)
Buy above 383/SL 380/ Target 390|| Sell below 375/ SL 377/ Target 370-368

HINDUNILVR (879.05)
Buy above 884/SL 878/Target 900||Sell below 869/ SL 875/ Target 865-860

RCOM (67.95)

Buy above 68/SL 67/Target 70-71||Sell below 66/ SL 67/ Target 65-64