Friday, 6 September 2013

06 September 2013: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: No sign of profit taking yet. Nifty may make attempt towards 5700 with trading support at 5545 levels. Policy makers moves are decisive for India.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.



For 06 September 2013: -
On 05 September 2013, FII Bought INR 1101.41 crs and DII Sold INR 492.82 crs
It was another pleasant bounce and Nifty closed just near to 5600 levels. Shall I expect profit taking? I can say that chances are not bright for profit taking without hitting something near to 5700 levels. There are some efforts from policy makers too and market is responding to those. We got most impressive rise in banks which should continue.
I have already quoted on Monday that INR should add strength now and USD may see vertical fall any time. Things go as the road map shown. I am expecting a test @ 65 very soon, may be this week itself. If an honest effort continues then INR can come back to the levels of 62-63 also. I had believe that reversal of QE in USA has nothing much to do with Indian currency depreciation. Chart wise I am even more bullish on Indian rupee and I may expect 60. Sound very odd?
I had discussed about ‘inverse H&S’ pattern on hourly chart with decisive break of n- line will be above 5590-5600. Somewhat it is not visible on daily charts to too. I am little ambitious and hoping this market to come near ‘death crossover’ which is at 5850. Well, charts are saying for profit taking to emerge near 5700 levels or 50 DMA.
Visit again to read my intraday updates as I can update about those only during market hours.

Strategy for Nifty September future – SGX Nifty is trading with gain of 40 points. I said earlier in the beginning of this month that US market may go under “correction” but Indian market may move up. From 5118 we saw too much wild volatility but it remains up. King of this market will be “VOLATIITY”. I will still a buyer in this market. Technical support is at 5590 to 5545. I want Nifty Future to come near 5700 to check patterns for profit taking. So far, nothing looks like that.

S&P 500 – I said,” I believe that the range of 1630 to 1660 is just a time pass. Unless it breaks above 1660 we cannot decide anything.” It has just followed the suggested roadmap. Just missed 1660 and took a dip. My study remains same. You cannot decide for direction in the range of 1660 to 1624 (~1627). Better option is to short near 1660. It was quoted on Wednesday too.  
Will the Nobel peace prize winner and president of USA Mr. Barak Obama really attack Syria? No, they cannot. I have too many reasons to support my logic which I will write later on different article.

Regards,

Praveen Kumar