Thursday 31 December 2015

31 December 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Year End trade and derivative expiry too. Avoid trade- 7940 is a resistance to watch.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 31 December 2015: -

On 30 December 2015: FII Net Bought – INR 152.20:  DII Net Sold – INR – 74.41
Once again 7940 is on play and market is trading dull on New Year festival mode. I cannot name this as sign of weakness. This used to come every year. I still believe that down side can be the opportunity to add long but here comes shocker. Stopping at 7940 is definitely not a good sign. This is a zone of right solder of mentioned H&S pattern. Hence, I am cautious. I like to wait before concluding.
One must look on positive divergence on MACD. It is really a huge one and can be capable to nullify the effect of H&S pattern which has emerged on long term chart. If this goes right then we should buy every dip. It’s too early to conclude hence it is just a view so far.
For today’s trading session, we may see a flat opening. Year-end trade and derivative expiry is making it is tougher puzzle to solve. Simple, I will trade long if it can sustain above 7940-7950. If not, then no trade.
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Strategy for Nifty January future – I usually do not trade derivative expiry day. Technical support is at 7900-7890 levels. On higher side it needs to spend time above 7960 to claim for gain. I hope for second half rise but it is just my hope.

S&P 500 (USA) – Once again it is a profit taking from 2075 resistance levels. This profit taking may turned to be opportunity to buy in dip. Somehow US indices are showing enough strength to move higher on New Year. From current levels I am expecting good trading support at 2050 to 2045 levels and advising buy on any possible dip. It is likely to hit 2100. 

31 December 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: TATAMOTORS, TATASTEEL and RELIANCE

TATAMOTORS (393.45)
Buy above 396/ SL 393/ Target 402-408||Sell below 389/ SL 392/ Target 382-380

TATASTEEL (258.70)
Buy above 261/SL 259/ Target 266-270|| Sell below 255/ SL 257/ Target 249-247

RELIANCE (1004.50)

Buy above 1016/SL 1009/Target 1030||Sell below 999/SL 1005/Target 990-986