Wednesday 11 March 2015

11 March 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: 8670 support is still alive. Next key support will be 50 DMA @ 8638. After a bounce it will break lower again.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 11 March 2015: -

On 10 March 2015, FII Sold INR 748.13 crs and DII Bought INR 290.48 crs
It became critical near 8670. I have quoted the possibility of a test towards 8670 when it was slipping from 9119. We are almost on the verge of test. Key support will be at 8670 and then at 8638 which is nothing but 50 DMA support. We can expect bounce from this area before seeing a fresh fall.
We saw a massive fall in US market last night but impact is very limited on SGX Nifty. This is also giving a hint that we can expect support now. Pharma stocks are promising on charts to buy in this decline. We should not try to pick mid cap or small cap odd stocks for recovery. Banking stocks will be decisive for bears. Break below 8638 will blow a big alarm for banking stocks.  
For today’s trading session, we may see flat to negative opening with a possible support at 8670. Once it sustain below 8670 then we can expect a quick fire test of 8638 levels. I do not think that fall can go much before 8638 without a positive close. If this happens then we can see fresh wave of sell off towards 8400. On higher side 8800 is my expectation in bounce.
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Strategy for Nifty March future – It can open in the range of 8740 levels. We will see support coming at 8710-8700 levels. Below 8700 we can expect a quick 40 points dip. On higher side it will face resistance at 8835 levels. Things may turn decisive now. It can be tougher to trade choppy moves.

S&P 500 (USA) – So easily, it has broken 50 DMA in second attempt. Do not consider for any recovery yet in the market. This is long term toppy pattern and we may get many follow up selling in the days to come. S&P slipped over 35 points last night. I am expecting a cracking 2000 levels by today or before this weekend. I am not going to break my head for reasons. Just stay short or add short on any recovery. 

11 March 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: AUROPHARMA, HEXAWARE and TATAMOTORS

AUROPHARMA (1127.30)
Buy above 1135/SL 1125/ Target 1160-1170|| Sell below 1114/ SL 1124/ Target 1095-1090

HEXAWARE (274.65)
Buy above 276/SL 274/Target 280-282||Sell below 272/ SL 274/ Target 268-265

TATAMOTORS (560.20)

Buy above 568/SL 564/Target 575-580||Sell below 555/ SL 561/ Target 545-540