Wednesday 25 March 2015

25 March 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: It may again take a bounce as long as 100 DMA hold. Below 100 DMA, no long.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 25 March 2015: -

On 24 March 2015, FII Bought INR 737.86 crs and DII Sold INR 631.67 crs
100 DMA support is inching higher. Now it came at 8525. We are one more day away from its derivative expiry for this month series. Nifty took an attempt for a bounce yesterday but failed at higher levels. Yesterday’s high has provided a key resistance levels. In simple words, no recovery can sustain unless it stand well above 8630 levels.
Market has passed three days in same trading range. It moved from 8535 to 8625. Now, market may see some puzzled moved for today and tomorrow. Derivative expiry may cause some odd moves. I can hope for recovery as long as it holds 100 DMA support.
For today’s trading session, I am hoping for somewhat flat opening and then a decisive support will emerge at 8525 to 8515 levels. If it sustain below 8525 then we can expect further fall. Below 8525 it can quickly give up 40-50 points. I must add that this market is sector specific now. On one hand tech stocks are looking stronger while banking stocks are giving all sign of weakness.
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Strategy for Nifty April future – It may open in the range of 8660 levels. I do not think that it can turn short unless it breaks 8630 levels. The level of 8630 to 8610 should offer trading support for another support. 100 DMA support may not breaks so easily. Some resilience is expected and hence we may get many odd bounce from low and many typical dip from top.

S&P 500 (USA) – I has again broken the level of 2096 to trigger a sell signal. Magnitude of trade may not be big but it has turned to a sell for fall again. For trading it may have generated the target of 2080 as of now. On higher side it has resistance at 2119-2120 levels. My believe is turning firm that the top of 2119 may be proven as long term top on chart. 

25 March 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: HEXAWARE, TECHM and IDEA

HEXAWARE (283.75)
Buy above 288/SL 285/ Target 292-300|| Sell below 279/ SL 281/ Target 275-273

TECHM (659.65)
Buy above 668/SL 663/Target 690||Sell below 650/ SL 655/ Target 635

IDEA (169.90)
Buy above 173/SL 172/Target 177||Sell below 169/ SL 170.50/ Target 165