Thursday, 25 September 2014

26 September 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: 50 DMA support = 7877. Last meaningful support is at 7850. If it breaks 7850 then we may see panic sell off. Sooner or later, it will break 7850 !!!

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 26 September 2014: -

On 25 September 2014, FII Sold INR 851.24 crs and DII Bought INR 818.62 crs
I have quoted for two crucial moving averages for yesterday. It hit a high near 20 DMA which was at 8064 and it hit dot low at 7877 which was 50 DMA. All of sudden picture changes but I will not say that it has happened all of sudden. I have issued so many warning for this rise. Quoted many stocks, like, JPASSOCIAT, UNITECH, IVRCINFRA, HFCL to save investors. It is a duty of Indian investors to catch temptation stocks always near to top. I tried to save and some of you might be saved.
Sentient was already bad from past few weeks in term of stock price. Market was just not rising with front line stocks, like metal. Sometime it was IT and some time it was banking which took the lead. Leaders were missing near 8180 levels when pharma stocks gave up.
Now, global cues are also in my expected line. It is worse from bad. Time has come for NIFTY to break 7850. I mean, have a look at daily chart, weekly chart or even monthly chart. All are just showing for selling.
Here is warning __________________ Below 7850, just prepare for 7600 to 7400 kind of levels. Just do not try to buy falling knife. 101% do not buy any mid cap stocks in dip. On other hand, bank index may see sharp fall like 8 to 10% more from here in October month itself.
For today’s trading session, by anyhow, if it breaks 7850 then bulls will give up all their hopes and new journey will begin. Rise or fall, today or tomorrow, I say, just short this market. It comes at 8000 or 8050, it has almost about to miss all momentum. October may belong to bears.
I am still saying same words. Spoiler for global market can be just one big factor – Currency market. Almost every currency of emerging market is again showing fear on chart against USD. What can be good for US market may not be good for emerging market. I am writing this paragraph from past many trading sessions.
Please visit our ‘intraday updates’ to get further updates or to take good advantage join paid services.
Strategy for Nifty October future – If it opens with wider gap then one must wait for some bounce. Technically, 7900 is a meaningful support which may test today. Below 7900, it may see panic sell off in the next week of trading. Technical resistance will emerge at 8000 to 8025. Time may have come to be aggressive on shorting. It is the impact of multiple negative divergence.

S&P 500 (USA) – So, as said, short as long as it is below 2000. Here comes the day. S&P lost almost 23 points. Now, I do expect a test of 1956. I feel that this is just the beginning. Now, I have a confirmation. 2011 to 2019 should not come again till 31st December 2014. Traders may try to wait for upcoming quarterly numbers. Moreover, end of QE always bring nervousness, pain and agony for stock market. Dip may be ugly !!!

26 September 2014: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday – RCOM, AXISBANK and TATAMOTORS

RCOM (95.70)
Buy above XXXXX|| Sell any rise – fall for a move towards 80-70

AXIS BANK (377.85)
Buy above 383/SL 381/Target 387||Sell below 377/ SL 380/ Target 370-365

TATA MOTORS (504.35) -
Buy above 511/SL 508/ Target 518-520||Sell below 504/SL 508/Target 490


25 September 2014: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday – JPASSOCIAT, SAIL and PNB

JPASSOCIAT (31.85)
Buy above XXXXX|| Sell below 31.85/ SL 32.35/ Target 30-28-25

SAIL (68.95)
Buy above 70.50/SL 69.80/Target 71-72||Sell below 68.30/ SL 69/ Target 67-66

PNB (927.10) -
Buy above 930/SL 925/ Target 937-940||Sell below 923/SL 928/Target 915-900



25 September 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: You can expect volatility with range 100 points but expiry be go near 8000 levels only. Technical resistance = 20 DMA @ 8064 !!! Support = 7950-7925 !!!

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 25 September 2014: -

On 24 September 2014, FII Sold INR 793.65 crs and DII Sold INR 15.29 crs
We have derivative expiry today for September month series. I have quoted a support of 7925 yesterday. Nifty hit a low at 7950 and got a dead bounce. Yesterday’s bounce gave us possible reversal bar if Nifty spot manage to sustain above 8030 to 8050 levels. It may not be easy for market but not impossible. 
Two crucial moving averages are 20 DMA and 50 DMA.  20 DMA is at 8064 now and it will act as resistance. It means that above 8064, bears will have no space. In case of derivative expiry day panic sell off, we will have support at 7925 to 7950 levels.
A rise favours bulls and a fall favours bears. It may not be true when market tries reversal. Frequent reversal patterns from high and low is just showing market’s indecision. So, yesterday’s pullback should not be taken as hangover. Although I cannot ignore candle pattern with formed due to pullback. I am taking charting conclusion but not sentiment. On some odd development, SC of India has cancelled all coal blocks allocation except just 4. A huge setback for market sentiment.
For today’s trading session, opening may be little higher as suggested by SGX Nifty after a huge rally in US market overnight. Higher opening may face resistance at 8064 after opening. It is little wider but it is derivative expiry too. Try to avoid trading on derivative expiry day. If it sustain below 7890 for 5-10 minutes then I can expect another move towards 7950 to 7925 levels.
I am still saying same words. Spoiler for global market can be just one big factor – Currency market. Almost every currency of emerging market is again showing fear on chart against USD. What can be good for US market may not be good for emerging market.
Please visit our ‘intraday updates’ to get further updates or to take good advantage join paid services.
Strategy for Nifty October future – SGX Nifty is suggesting that we may have opening near 8080 levels. Technical resistance will emerge at 8100 immediately after opening. Above 8100, it may favour bulls. In the down side it will get support at 8050 and then at 8000 levels. I hope for 100 points trading range for expiry day while expecting that expiry will go on dead flat note. 

S&P 500 (USA) – Once again, it hit 1979 and bounced for second time. Technically, it is showing that this bounce will face resistance at 2000 levels. As long as it is below 2000, we should not give meaning to any bounce from current levels. On higher side we will see another stiff resistance at 2011 and 2019 on cross above 2000 levels. I can say for short till it is below 2000 levels.