Friday 2 August 2013

02 August 2013: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Market will try to recover from NSEL shock now. Strength can be expected only above 5800-5820 levels which is still too far. Can we expect?

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.



For 02 August 2013: -
On 01 August 2013, FII Bought INR 177.78 crs and DII Sold INR 293.62 crs
How Indian financial institution works? We saw an example yesterday. Unfortunately, we saw this kind of payment default in past too. NSEL news was taken as a shock by market. I hope that problems will be handled but question is why it came. In a compensating step, government of India has declared few reform steps last evening. I never give weightage to this kind of steps unless those really get implemented.
Well, still market will open with some better sentiment. I hope that it can able to convince people to stop selling equity. We already saw massive hammering in mid cap and small cap stocks. Nifty is no more an instrument which is showing overall market. It is just reflecting the movements of 4-5 blue-chip stocks. When almost every major global index are near their all-time high, Indian is struggling.  
Technical charts are still suggesting that 5680-5675 will act as strong trading support in any down side. On higher side it will face resistance in the zone of 5800-5820 levels. Charts are still saying that real strength will be visible only if Nifty able to close above 5820 marks.
Visit again to read my intraday updates as I can update about those only during market hours.

Strategy for Nifty July future – SGX AUGUST NIFTY is trading higher by 40 points right now. It is still lagging global index. It is hinting for opening above 5805 levels. After opening if we get crossover of 5840 then we can hope for a move towards 5900 levels in the days to come. Technical support after opening will be at 5770 levels. It will be another wild day if we fail to sustain at higher levels.   

S&P 500 – It has given breakout above 1700 marks. I can say that more short cover will come in US market. Technical charts are suggesting for a move towards 1720 right now and then it will take an attempt to hit 1740 levels too. Now technical support will be at 1690-1685 levels only. We should not add too many things in analysis and just enjoy this breakout.

Regards,

Praveen Kumar