Monday, 1 December 2014
NIFTY weekly analysis for 01 December’14 to 05 December’14
Elliott wave theory: I have expressed a possible move
towards 8600 in the past week analysis. Whatever you say for upside, all will
come. Now for this week, if Nifty stay above 8617-8620 then expect further 1%
rise. 8700 to 8800 levels are also possible. Key technical support is at 8536.
Trend reversal support is way too far, it is at 8450 levels.
Market cycle: December is usually a good month for
equity but we hardly saw two months old rally before December. So far,
beginning for December looks good.
Technical indicators: Now, it is the time to count for
weekly divergence again. A top is sooner as RSI has not moved with any greater
strength.
Charting pattern: As long as it holds above 8450 we
cannot say that correction can last longer. Immediate technical support will
come at 8536-8500 levels.
01 December 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Market to take more cues for upcoming RBI monetary policy. Technical support for Nifty comes at 8550-8536 levels.
You must read previous articles and watch the given chart
carefully to understand this article completely.
For 01 December 2014: -
On 28 November 2014, FII Bought INR 935.86 crs and DII Sold
INR 439.31 crs
Banking stocks has pushed indices on another new all-time
high. So a new all-time high is 8617. Right now market men will wait for the
outcome of upcoming RBI’s monetary policy review which is scheduled to come
tomorrow. After sharp fall in crude oil price, market is taking it as guarantee
for rate cut. It is my anticipation that market knows what is coming. I believe
that market has discounted 25 bps cut in CRR at least. Outcome may be better
than that. If not then we will see some panic reaction tomorrow.
Well, so what should we expect today? Before an event, I am
expecting silence in market. A level of 8536 has acted as resistance earlier
and now it will act as support. So even if intraday correction comes then also
it may not be bigger below 8536. I suggest dealing in stocks only and prefer to
deal in cash market only.
For today’s trading session, we will have intraday trading
support at 8536 levels. Friday’s high of 8617 will be only meaningful
resistance. If rise extend further than it can even challenge 8700+ levels. Nifty
moved by almost 900 points without any meaningful correction. Be cautious if
you want to deal banking stocks.
Please visit our ‘intraday updates’ to get further updates or
to take good advantage join paid services.
Strategy for Nifty December
future – SGX Nifty is
showing for opening at 8620+ levels. Immediate technical support will come at
8590 levels. As long as it is above 8590 we cannot expect anything for
correction. Market will take more hint for RBI policy today. If Nifty Future
trades below 8590 then do not stay long.
S&P 500 (USA) – I said to watch for reaction at
2075 levels. It hit 2075 levels as a dot and then slipped. Right now, index
futures are trading in red. I am still not advising trade on it. My study is
still suggesting me that index may not come down in the month of December
unless something unexpected happens. What I mean to say is that a possible
correction should be news based. It may not come due to technical reasons. Let
us see how much reaction can be offered by market at S&P @ 2075 !!!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)