Monday, 8 December 2014
NIFTY weekly analysis for 08 December’14 to 12 December’14
Elliott wave theory: I have quoted for 1% up move with
target at 8700 if it able to stay above 8620. Well, except one impulsive trade
we never got 8620+ levels hence a dip came to test support of 8500. Well, below
8500 it will correct to come near 8400 and then it will be decisive in 5th
wave. This is only first red deal on 5th wave so far. Correction is
not looking big in this month as compared to 900 points of straight rise.
Market cycle: December is usually a good month for
equity but we hardly saw two months old rally before December. So far,
beginning for December looks good. Will it see any moderation against market
cycle? So far, answer is no.
Technical indicators: Now, it is the time to count for
weekly divergence again. A top is sooner as RSI has not moved with any greater
strength.
Charting pattern: As long as it holds above 8450 we
cannot say that correction can last longer. Immediate technical support will
come at 8536-8500 levels.
08 December 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Hope alive for up move as long as Nifty holds 8500 levels. Small correction can hit only below 8500 levels.
You must read previous articles and watch the given chart
carefully to understand this article completely.
For 08 December 2014: -
On 05 December 2014, FII Bought INR crs and DII Bought INR 166.05
crs
We are sick and tired of this near 0% move on index but a
trader has no better choice. It’s the prime reason that I suggested you to go
on stocks. Intraday traders are getting hardly 20-30 points tradable moves on
Nifty. We will not see any better change today also if things go in same way. I
quoted past week for 8500 support which got a good respect. This 8500 support
is applicable for this week too. As long as it is above 8500, market will live
with of fresh up wave.
In alter sense; a short term price correction is possible
below 8500 levels of Nifty. Take a note that none of the global market goes
under correction. In fact, technical charts are not justifying for correction
for December month so far. Shorting may be only a stock specific choice. If I
have to worry then I am worried for momentum technical indicators like RSI.
For today’s trading session, opening is expected to be soft
to flat. Once again, I am not hoping anything great if 8500 holds. We traded Nifty
for short side on Friday’s session but that came in very last 20-25 minutes. It
is better to deal with long on stronger stocks of stronger sectors like Auto
and Finance. Key resistance for Nifty is at 8590 and then at 8620+ levels.
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Strategy for Nifty December
future – Once again,
key support for Nifty is at 8570 and then at 8540. On higher side, nothing is
safe until it takes out 8630 successfully. I am not sure how to act. I can either
take long from low or short from high. I am sure that I will go short if it
breaks 8540-8535. I do not think that it can take out easily. Let us see. Wait-watch
and then think to trade.
S&P 500 (USA) – it is almost two months where we
are analysing average daily movement of 3-4 points. It is very dull and boring
but rising constantly. It was just 4 points higher close with another newer
life time high. I still expect 2100 to be in race but how long will it take. Technically,
it still have a very good support it the range of 2050-2035. Well, seeing
almost 0% move I can even conclude that 2060 will also become support in any
fall. I have already expressed my view few weeks back that we may not see any
fall in December. On higher side it can hit 2145 on or before 31st
December. This is megaphone breakout target as well as justified by Elliott
wave extension.
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