Monday, 18 August 2014
18 August 2014 : Nifty weekly analysis for 18 August 2014 to 22 August 2014
Well, big question is - Are we in wave '5'? I can see a
diamond formation which is a characteristic of wave '4'. If this comes true
then 8500 +++ levels are in the race for bulls. That's one prospect.
Other is, if this market fails again before 7841 then this
diamond formation go in favour of bears.
Note that diamond formations are just the indication of 'move
of length comparable to diagonal'. It can go in any direction with possibility
50-50.
18 August 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Today will be bearish day if it fails to fills the morning gap down. Crucial resistance will be 7800 and 7840. Trading support = 7760 !!!
You must read previous articles and watch the given chart
carefully to understand this article completely.
For 18 August 2014: -
On 14 August 2014, FII Bought INR 625.18 crs and DII Bought
INR 135.75 crs
Indian market went higher in the last week of trade on the
hope of some block buster announcement on Independence Day by prime minister. We
got an energetic populist speech by prime minster but it has those key missing which
market would have wanted. In fact, I can say that Indian market were very
unfair in their expectations. It may lead some cooling off activity today in opening
minutes.
Technical charts are again showing sluggish behaviour near
7800 levels which it has done three times in past. If I have an option to buy
from 7800 then I would just prefer to wait for the market to take out 7840
resistance levels.
For today’s session, if it fails to fill its gap down then it
will be bearish for the day. Technical resistance will come in the zone of 7800
to 7840 levels and it cannot be easy to long this zone. So, I am concluding
that trading move depends on gap down. Do not keep hope from this week. Traders
must and must avoid mid cap stocks from any kind of buying, stock picking,
catching falling knife or value buying. If Nifty breaks 7750 then we can see
this market sliding again.
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Strategy for Nifty August
future – Nifty August
Future may open negative near 7780. Suppose if it breaks 7765 then we can see
fall. Well, 7765 is a good technical support too. One can think to short only
if it breaks 7765 levels. If not, then it can bounce too. On higher side it
will have resistance at 7810 levels. Final crossover of 7810 may add further up
move towards 7850 levels too but this situation is not likely to come at least
in first half.
S&P 500 (USA) – S&P is still in the striking
distance form 1956-1958 levels. It is likely to see that every dip will be
bought be bulls. Technically, we can
still expect this move to go higher from current levels too. So far, we have
not seen any sign of weakness yet. Now, a well-defined resistance of 1945 will
act as good trading support. As long as it holds above 1945 we can expect move
grinding higher only. Will it test 1975 again? Yes, it can.
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