Friday, 26 May 2017

26 May 2017: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Buy was our call and derivative expiry day must have shocked many. Nifty crucial level is at 9540.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

26 May 2017: -
On 25 May 2017: FII Net Bought – 589.11 INR Crs:  DII Net Sold – INR – 236.44 Crs
Derivative expiry goes exactly the way we predicted and it goes very perfect with the long that we added in recent dips. I have not touched fresh long yesterday and we got exit with our long deal. The best and enjoying thing was that market goes up against many opinions. I always say that best rally is short covering rally and if you want to enjoy this then you must try to identify this first.
What’s next for new month of trade?
I am still suggesting that do not take 100-150 points dip from top as sign of weakness or with a logic that market expensive and any excuse to be standing against money flow. Money flow is strong and market may advance more. From a pullback of 9018 market never shows weakness on chart.
For today’s session, I am expecting market to open on soft note as this is characteristic of day after short covering. Take a note that market has closed above 9500 levels and this is generating optimism now. Suppose if market stand well above 9500 then fresh may again hit the market.
Desired technical support for Nifty for today’s session should be 9480 and then at 9440. Momentum technical indicators not critical and so it is supportive to the money flow. Just see what has happened on Bank Nifty yesterday.
Sectoral performance may go on flip flop mode time to time but overall buyers are still interested in market price. Pricing looks expensive but it is still attracting buyers. Can we expect reversal? Well, if this happens then it will be least expected. So far, nothing is suggesting for reversal but caution call is always alive.
Caution note is clear – first one has to watch for weakness on small cap and mid cap indices. Before top, there may be the days where mid cap and small cap indices will be negative and blue-chip index will maintain flat to positive note. I will look on small cap and mid cap index to compare relative under performance.
Strategy for Nifty June future – June factor is the only thing that bears can talk about. Take a note that trading ranges used to be broader for this month. This time also it is going to be same but trading direction cannot be predicted right now. Well it is my view that market can move forward in the month of June against history. For today technical support is at 9480-9440. If it can stand above 9540 then we can expect fresh rise.

BANK NIFTY June future – Bank Nifty moved by more than 2% which was than Nifty. What a day it picked to bounce. June future is trading at 23000 levels. No matter where it opens today but it is not weak. Market can bounce link this index after every consolidation. June month usually favours bears but this time may be different. Technical support is at 22800 levels. I am still waiting to see bank Nifty going at 23500.