Tuesday 19 June 2012

19 June 2012: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: It has slipped before our given resistance @ 5209. Now support @ 5029. It is now sell-on-rise market.



You must read previous articles and watch above chart carefully to understand this article completely.

Important development of charts –

  • Nifty has 38.20% resistance @ 5209 (from 5630 against the rise from 4531 to 5630). We have seen fall from those resistance with high @ 5191.
  • 5029 – It is 38.20% of rise against 4770 to 5191.


In spite of all strong cues in yesterday’s morning hours Nifty has failed to cross 5209 resistance marks and I have already indicated about the same.

Now, market has turned to sell – on – rise mode. Final support will stand at 5029. Sooner or later, brutal fall will begin and we will be back to 4800 levels.

We have technical resistance at 5090-5100 marks now. Every rise will see stiff resistance in those ranges. We may initiate shorting near the given levels to hold short. Cross over of 5100 may say you ‘not to short’ and we must respect those. Well, that indication has yet to come. I feeling for sell off to hit from higher levels.

Look at the chart on Hindenburg pattern – when 50 DMA gives a down cross of 200 DMA. It is exactly opposite of what you called ‘Golden cross’. It is a hardcore sell on charts for medium to long term.
Indian market has no respect for ’Golden cross’ but ‘Hindenburg cross” will surely get lots of respect. Very few people might be talking about this pattern right now. Do not worry, I am sure people will talk about this in few days.

Due to massive news flow, trading might not be comfortable as after RBI policy review. People are now betting on QE 3 by fed. Who can stop this kind of optimism? Even if it comes, it will be politically driven.

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Thanks & Regards,
Praveen Kumar
Mail id – Praveen@viecapital.com
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