You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to
understand this article completely.
For 11 February 2016: -
On 10 February 2015: FII Net Sold – INR 751.33: DII Net Sold – INR – 196.92
Yesterday’s dent was banking collapse. NPA concern remains governing for
banking sector. We saw a good bounce for intraday about 90 points but this got
sold at higher levels. Technical charts were suggesting for support at
7200-7230 levels. It got a closing in the same range. Big question is that will
it move higher from here or will it fall more. If breaks and sustain then 7100
is also possible.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting market to open with gap down although
it may not be as big as reflected by SGX Nifty. We are now just few trading
sessions away from Union Budget. Market may try to take a call for budget. Budget
moves are usually counter long term trend. Hence, it may be up this time. If it has to bounce then time is on and levels
are also on. Be cautious.
Let me clear what weekly charts are saying. A full 1500 points of fall is
possible from 7500 levels. I have no idea if it gives 100% result what it is
showing on theory but the target lies near 6000. Sorry, if words hurts you but
this is what I feel. I do not see Nifty going at 8000 anymore in easier way.
It looks like H&S pattern is taking its effect. Well, if H&S
pattern goes on its true mode then 7200-7100 is the possibility. Meantime Nifty
is over sold for short term and intraday chart. This says that market may
ignore MACD positive divergence and sooner or later it will hit 7200-7100
levels. After that 6500 will be the figure which people will talk about.
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Strategy for Nifty February future – Nifty
Future has shown some respect for 7200 but this has not shown any good sign of
recovery. Bounce came as expected in second half but after a dip. For today’s
session opening goes around yesterday’s low. If it shows respect for 7190 then
we can expect another possible bounce. If not then some more pain left for
market. Do not short lower levels after gap down.
S&P 500 (USA) – It took a
jump to move above 1875 but slipped to see lower close. I have already said for
not to buy these bounce unless it spends time above 1875. It is hard to say how
many attempts it will take to hit or break 1875 levels. My call is to buy only
and only if it can sustain above 1875 levels. So far, trend is down in limited
range.
