Friday, 1 November 2013

01 November 2013: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: It saved 6200 with a big margin and gave a big thrust above 6250 resistance. Now, new all-time high may come on Muhurat trading hours. It is demanding figure by bulls.

 You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 01 November 2013: -



On 31 October 2013, FII Bought INR 1875.87 crs and DII Sold INR 833.79 crs
It has definitely required big amount of buying in past few days to give a cross of 6240 but finally it came. Now optimism is growing and there is no possibility of any negative trigger. So, we can expect rise for new all-time high now near Muhurat trading.
Derivative expiry goes at highest point of month. It is more important to note that sentiment has changed with Bank of India’s result. It has driven buying in PSU banks. Many such banking stocks are giving multi week’s breakout.
It may see consolidation but new all-time high has a bright possibility. It may come on auspicious day of Diwali. This might be more like a psychological to get new all-time high as it has less technical relevance. I added long and prefer to hold to capitalize the psychological rise.
Still, I can say that there are few strong warning sign too on the charts and it used to come at such levels. Earlier we saw those signs on US indices too but those were brutally crushed by bulls. Can it happen in India? Yes, it can be but being a trader I cannot ignore.
Technical support for the day is at 6250-6240. On higher side, it can try to come near 6360-6370 levels. It does not matter it comes today or on Sunday but it is coming. Even for a fraction of second but new all-time high must come. What is going to happen after that is a big question. I have no answer for that. So let us wait for 6360-6370 first.
Visit again to read my intraday updates as I can update about those only during market hours.
Strategy for Nifty November future – NIFTY future is likely to open soft but on optimistic note. It is good that premium turned lower than earlier in closing minutes. Technical support is at 6280 levels. Expect 6400 or higher levels. I can say that just for 2-3 days, it is buying in dip market. I was on side line near 6240 and bought on decisive crossover. I may off load on Muhurat trading hour. Let us see today.
S&P 500 (USA) – It has given another down day and closed below 1760. It is a primary sell signal which got expected from resistance. Note that this time S&P took a sell from resistance of 1780 as high was 1776. Break below 1760 must have given stress to bulls. Chart need just one more close below 1760 and what can be said if it comes on last week of the day. I always suggest focusing for follow up trades. So, if we get below 1760 today also then a possible big dip next week.
If not then this dip is another typical opportunity to trade long for another attempt towards 1780-1800 zone.
Regards,
Praveen Kumar