Thursday, 27 November 2014
27 November 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Derivative expiry may be either too dull or may be too wild to trade. Key support for Nifty is 8430-8416 so far. Resistance for Nifty – 8500-8536 !!!
You must read previous articles and watch the given chart
carefully to understand this article completely.
For 27 November 2014: -
On 26 November 2014, FII Bought INR 181.46 crs and DII Sold
INR 314.64 crs
Well, we are finally on the day of November month expiry now.
This is my least preferred day to trade. We have secular up trend for whole
month without any meaningful correction. It is still hovering on higher side. I
have already said yesterday that 8500 and 8536 will act as stiff resistance. While
on lower side, 8430 to 8416 will act as trading support.
I must say that this is not a market where we can get any
short to medium term trend. I will not prefer to be active for today’s trading
session. It can either be too dull to trade or it can be wild if turns
volatile. We have seen support from almost all sectors in past few weeks. We have
bearish engulfing pattern but a confirmation will come only on close below
8416. Will that close come sooner? No one can answer.
For today’s trading session, we will have intraday trading
support at 8429 to 8416 levels. Expiry can make things wild. If it breaks 8416
then only we can have confirmed and meaningful dip from current levels. If it
saves on lower side then it may not be good expect anything good. On higher
side, above 8550, it can challenge for 8536.
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Strategy for Nifty December
future – It may open
around 8550 levels. It has key support at 8480 levels. On higher side 8600 is a
decisive resistance. It will not easy to find moves between the range of 8480
to 8600. Today is derivative expiry and I am suggesting a holiday for index
trading. We may not have anything good for trading as of now.
S&P 500 (USA) – This is so dull. We saw another
close with small positive. I like to see reaction at 2075. If there is no
pullback then it may try to move towards 2100 levels. From 2000 levels to 2073,
it took 20 trading sessions so far without any correction. Today will be 21st
trading session. It has spent 32 trading sessions from the low of 1820 levels. Take
a note that 34 is also a Fibonacci number and 21 is also a Fibonacci number. If
it does not correct in 1-2 days then this rally can extend for 21 trading
sessions more. Think, it may not correct till year end.
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