Friday, 12 February 2016

12 February 2016: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: A big recovery is coming next week after today’s low. NIFTY support = 6850

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 12 February 2016: -

On 11 February 2015: FII Net Sold – INR 1112.66:  DII Net Bought – INR – 1222.12
7000 levels have broken so sooner and so easier. This shows disbelief in Indian market now. We are unable to see any single good result. If UPA was paralysed in term of reforms then NDA is also no better. Well, I do not think that politics can be supportive in anyways.  
For today’s trading session, I am expecting market to open with gap up due to massive sell off yesterday. I see the gap has least chance to sustain on higher side. I feel that Nifty should not break 6850 levels easily. We are bound to see a rebound. I may be interested to the dip it goes around 6900.
I am ready to buy a panic bottom. Still my low for the year may not have done yet. I still believe for 6000. The way it came I may expect 5500 too. Let us see the recovery which can give a better idea.
Let me clear what weekly charts are saying. A full 1500 points of fall is possible from 7500 levels. I have no idea if it gives 100% result what it is showing on theory but the target lies near 6000. Sorry, if words hurts you but this is what I feel. I do not see Nifty going at 8000 anymore in easier way.
It looks like H&S pattern is taking its effect. Well, if H&S pattern goes on its true mode then 7200-7100 is the possibility. Meantime Nifty is over sold for short term and intraday chart. This says that market may ignore MACD positive divergence and sooner or later it will hit 7200-7100 levels. After that 6500 will be the figure which people will talk about.
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Strategy for Nifty February future – At least I was no expecting this to come so sooner. Technically, if Nifty future sustain below 7000 levels then it can be short again. It may try to make another low today also. Do not trade long easily. Well but I may opt to trade long if I can see 6900 levels. It is for sure that a big recovery is coming sooner.

S&P 500 (USA) – It came at 1809 and then took an intraday rebound. This makes sense. US market has shown better strength from meaningful support at 1800. Take a note that 1800 is the support for a massive rebound on wave formation. If it can maintain 1800 then my first target is at 1875 and then next will be at 1945. Expect better second half for the month.