Monday 25 September 2017

25 September 2017: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: “Truncation” played its role and fall may intensify sooner. Meaningful support = 9800.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

Analysis 25 September 2017: -
On 22 September 2017: FII Net Sold – 1241.73 INR Crs:  DII Net Bought – INR – 521.17 Crs
It was expected truncation in the market. I was expecting this to happen at new all-time high. If I am right then one can notice a great support line given in the chart. This support line has crucial meaning. Once it starts trading below that support line one can expect market to crash by good magnitude.
It does not matter how it goes, market is not going to be comfortable much above 10100 levels. What Elliott wave is saying? We can see maximum of 10400 levels. We have witnesses one correction and then a bounce. We are going to see such move next.
For today’s trading session, Nifty is likely to open at dull note and then we can see further sell off mode. It is going to in the range of 9850-9800 levels sooner. Those who went short on truncation call must be enjoying a lot. Do not opt taking long even if such signals comes. Either do not trade or trade short side.
There is no single sectoral indices which can come to rescue index. Bad shape economy has very higher valuation for stock price. Just stay away from investment too.
I still like to quote that Elliott wave extension has a target of 10400 but will it hit or not it cannot be said.
Alter sense, if market makes a new all-time high then momentum can take Nifty towards 10400 levels.
I am maintaining my bullish instance from 9000 onwards. Length of the rally should be from 9000 to 10400 levels. It hardly matters if this magnitude goes 1400 points exactly or goes as 1300 points or 1600 points. Call was bullish above 9000 and so far it is pity successful.
Strategy for Nifty September future – Be fair, we can see fall of 100 points more. It has to hit 9850-9800 levels before expiry. On higher side no levels is safe. This is compact analysis which is suggesting staying away from long. It looks like we may see a Diwali which can go in favour of bears.

BANK NIFTY September future – I have already expressed my view that market may not be comfortable at this kind of market. We saw a fall afterward. I must quote that Banking index is weaker than expect. It has technical support at 24000 levels and then we do not have too many supports to save from fall. This is 101% going to be very critical.