Thursday 18 February 2016

18 February 2016: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Rebound from lower levels. I still expect my target as 7500+ levels.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 18 February 2016: -

On 17 February 2015: FII Net Sold – INR 560.00:  DII Net Bought – INR – 384.53
I have already quoted yesterday for bounce from lower support. We saw Nifty going below 7000 and then rebounding back to close above 7100 levels. We added long at 7000 levels itself. I hope you must have added those.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting market to open on higher note. Now I am expecting levels of 7200 as of now. I am expecting levels of 7500 before Union budget. So, we should see a decisive crossover of 7200 levels. It will get this crossover by today or tomorrow.
Let me clear what weekly charts are saying. A full 1500 points of fall is possible from 7500 levels. I have no idea if it gives 100% result what it is showing on theory but the target lies near 6000. Sorry, if words hurts you but this is what I feel. I do not see Nifty going at 8000 anymore in easier way.
It looks like H&S pattern is taking its effect. Well, if H&S pattern goes on its true mode then 7200-7100 is the possibility. Meantime Nifty is over sold for short term and intraday chart. This says that market may ignore MACD positive divergence and sooner or later it will hit 7200-7100 levels. After that 6500 will be the figure which people will talk about.
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Strategy for Nifty February future – SGX Nifty is showing for start around 7180 levels. I would not surprise if this surpasses 7200 in initial minutes itself. It will be decisive to see a crossover of 7230 to claim for further strength. I am expecting this crossover. It may come by today or by tomorrow. If it fails then I will turn cautious.

S&P 500 (USA) – As expected, we got levels of 1930 now. I am expecting a level of 1945 as of now. Market may show sign of tiredness at these levels. It will be better if market can able to spend time at these levels without any remarkable fall. Technical support will stand at 1915 levels. If it can close above 1945 then we can expect 2000 levels again before getting another top.