Wednesday, 6 November 2013

06 November 2013: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: It has broken rising wedge pattern. Keep an eye on 6240 as crucial trading support. FII buying is slowing down. It needs another attempt to make new all-time high.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.



For 06 November 2013: -
On 05 November 2013, FII Bought INR 162.53 crs and DII Sold INR 683.96 crs
It is looking like FII has slowed down their buying from past three trading session. They are not giving a great back up to their big buying figures which were coming at 6100-6300 levels. This is definitely not a good sign. It is going to be odd pullback.
We are just hanging on n-line of inverse H&S pattern. I have already given the importance to 6240 levels. If it holds then things are fine but if it breaks then we can smell trouble. If this is not a trouble then also it will dim the possibility of new all-time high in this run up.
I was concerned on VIX front. I said this earlier too that 18 is a decisive levels for VIX. It is 50-50 possibility for next move. Either we will see 23 or we will see 14. Now, it gave rise above 19 and showing for more strength although it will fall later.
Technical support for the day is at 6240. On higher side major technical resistance will be at 6300 only before 6360. I am not short but came out from long too. It has broken wedge and I always want to be on cautious note at these kinds of levels. It can be a trap.
Visit again to read my intraday updates as I can update about those only during market hours.
Strategy for Nifty November future – NIFTY future is likely to open flat. As long as it holds 6280-6270 levels, we cannot see big concern yet. It is missing momentum now. I have decided not to opt to trade long as of now unless we see great sign of strength. It is going to be decisive levels and time too. Fall can be brutal below 6280-6270 levels.
S&P 500 (USA) – It hold 1750 and rebounded. What should be the outcome of this bounce? It can again try to come near 1776 levels.  It is still opening for rise and more rise as long as 1750 holds. What I am feeling is that it may try to form a double top pattern for short term before falling. I am fully confident of just one thing- it will not give you easy trade this week. Let us see the range of 1776 to 1750. Heavily bullish above 1776 for 1800 or fall below 1750.
Regards,

Praveen Kumar