Thursday, 24 September 2015

24 September 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Avoid trading on expiry day if it goes positive. Worse case scenario- 7720 may be on test again!!!

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 24 September 2015: -

On 23 September 2015, FII Sold INR – 1330.12 Crs and DII Bought INR 891.36 Crs
I exited my shorts when Nifty was trading below 7800 and that has given us a great save from odd intraday bounce. We are on expiry day today. We have no more position as forward. I usually do not like to trade a expiry day.
There is no great change in my short term and long term view. This market will face much resistance on higher side. Just like August and September one can expect another dip in the month of October too. I still say that September month is still better than what I was expecting. Based on wave chart 7300 and then 6800 will be a possibility for next month.
For today’s trading session, we may see soft opening. If global indices exhibit any kind of weakness then it will act as catalyst for expiry day for Indian market. In worse possibility yesterday’s long of 7720 may be tested. Only in that case we may opt to trade. If market trade dull to positive then avoid the day.   
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Strategy for Nifty September future – My fair expectation for expiry is below 7800. It may trade few points here and there but it should be around 7800 or below 7800. There is just handful of expectation for further up. Assume if it sustain below 7780 then it can open scope for 7710-7700. Can it go much lower?   

S&P 500 (USA) – Yesterday was a soft day in US market and there should not be any change in conclusion. US market has two more trading sessions. I still expect that 1900 is a possibility which I am talking since last Friday. Technical trading resistance is at 1950. Do not expect any easy recovery and hence it is of no great use to buy dip. 

24 September 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: GEOMETRIC, KOTAKBANK and LT

GEOMETRIC (135.00)
Buy above 136/SL 135/ Target 142|| Sell below 133/ SL 134/ Target 129-128

KOTAKBANK (658.65)
Buy above 664/SL 659/Target 675-680||Sell below 652/ SL 657/ Target 640-635

LT (1495.30)

Buy above 1502/SL 1494/Target 1524||Sell below 1486/SL 1494/Target 1470-1460