Monday 6 January 2014

06 January 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Friday’s low of 6170 is going to be crucial for the day now. Mini bounce is expected but we will see selling at higher levels as long it stay below 6260.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.



For 06 January 2014: -
On 03 January 2014, FII Sold INR 18.06 crs and DII Sold INR 280.77 crs
FII goes for sell in cash market in last trading session. I always said this that FIIs are known to buy top heavily and sell bottom heavily. They have not sold heavily yet but definitely momentum is missing from them. Indian market will see lot of impact of political jitters in coming few days, weeks or may be months.
Few media reports are suggesting that we may see upcoming general election earlier than May this year. In my view, market should take this as little positive if happens. Is it going to be that easy? Definitely not, we need to see the formulation over the stability of upcoming government. We all know that stock market wants NDA government this time.
Apart from politics, we must see the technical formations too. 50 DMA for NIFTY is at 6193. I still feel that market may head towards 6000 and this may happen in this month itself. Still, we are bound to get few pull backs in between.
Technical charts are spotting for the support at 6120 and 6085 as it has broken 6260. Now, as long as Nifty is staying below 6260 we can address those as pull back only. Friday’s low of 6170 may act as crucial support for today in any weak trades.
Strategy for Nifty January future – SGX Nifty is showing for the weak opening for the day but it may not be as weak. Nifty January Future should get support at 6200 again for one bounce. It is equally true that it may see fall again after a mini bounce. I cannot rule out the possibility for the test of 6100-6050 levels in coming days. I do not think that one can short any gap down in this market. in all, 6200 is decisive for the day and hope of recovery. Let us see if it comes.
S&P 500 (USA) – It is beginning of a correction but mini pullback cannot ruled out. Technically, pullback may not have big magnitude. It is bound to come as bulls are very strong in US market. Nearest support is at 1824 levels. I can still feel that 1854 is going to be tougher to deal. It is giving early sign of weakness with a fall from higher levels but confirmation is still required.
Regards,

Praveen Kumar