Monday, 30 March 2015

30 March 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Can 200 DMA breaks so easily? We can expect some price recovery as a result of sharp fall of past few days.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 30 March 2015: -

On 27 March 2015, FII Sold INR 320.52 crs and DII Bought INR 674.76 crs
Friday’s fall has changed many technical viewpoints. I was expecting price recovery but it came after a much deeper low which was at 8269 levels. Still we were able to see a zero percent change closing. For this week 8269 will play as key support in any dip.
Big question is still there. Will it break or test 200 DMA as easily as it looks? I strongly believe that it is going to happen sooner or later. Well, before that we are bound to see a price recovery as price fall is very sharp so far for March month. I still hope for a price recovery and I will play for it. At some higher levels, this recovery will miss air and it will give time for short.  
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a cautious opening and then a support can either emerge at 8300. We can expect 8269 to act as weekly support. From near to 200 DMA caution is very obvious word. Minimum expected levels fo far for this recovery can be above 8400 levels which may come by early this week.
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Strategy for Nifty April future – It has seen some good rebound from low point on Friday. This may continue. Based on technical chart if it can sustain above 8470 then we can see some good extension for recovery. I definitely like to add long on any impulsive dip for intraday.  

S&P 500 (USA) – A price recovery is still expected. It does not matter where it dies. It may end up at 2075 or at any other levels. So far this is a rebound from 2035 support levels and it has life so far. This is a new week and a new financial year will from Wednesday. Technical support for the day will be at 2050 and for this week it will get support at 2035 levels. I still warn that market may see a fresh dip from higher levels. 

30 March 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: ARVIND, HEXAWARE and TATAMOTORS

ARVIND (263.40)
Buy above 267/SL 264/ Target 272-275|| Sell below 257/ SL 259/ Target 252

HEXAWARE (311.20)
Buy above 315/SL 312/Target 324||Sell below 306/ SL 309/ Target 300-398

TATAMOTORS (535.35)

Buy above 538/SL 532/Target 550-555||Sell below 528/ SL 533/ Target 522-518