19 June 2012: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: It has slipped before our given resistance @ 5209. Now support @ 5029. It is now sell-on-rise market.



You must read previous articles and watch above chart carefully to understand this article completely.

Important development of charts –

  • Nifty has 38.20% resistance @ 5209 (from 5630 against the rise from 4531 to 5630). We have seen fall from those resistance with high @ 5191.
  • 5029 – It is 38.20% of rise against 4770 to 5191.


In spite of all strong cues in yesterday’s morning hours Nifty has failed to cross 5209 resistance marks and I have already indicated about the same.

Now, market has turned to sell – on – rise mode. Final support will stand at 5029. Sooner or later, brutal fall will begin and we will be back to 4800 levels.

We have technical resistance at 5090-5100 marks now. Every rise will see stiff resistance in those ranges. We may initiate shorting near the given levels to hold short. Cross over of 5100 may say you ‘not to short’ and we must respect those. Well, that indication has yet to come. I feeling for sell off to hit from higher levels.

Look at the chart on Hindenburg pattern – when 50 DMA gives a down cross of 200 DMA. It is exactly opposite of what you called ‘Golden cross’. It is a hardcore sell on charts for medium to long term.
Indian market has no respect for ’Golden cross’ but ‘Hindenburg cross” will surely get lots of respect. Very few people might be talking about this pattern right now. Do not worry, I am sure people will talk about this in few days.

Due to massive news flow, trading might not be comfortable as after RBI policy review. People are now betting on QE 3 by fed. Who can stop this kind of optimism? Even if it comes, it will be politically driven.

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Thanks & Regards,
Praveen Kumar
Mail id – Praveen@viecapital.com
Mobile number – 09893369889



I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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