Thursday, 4 June 2015

04 June 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: One can expect technical support at 8100-8080 levels but there is no guarantee that it would not break.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 04 June 2015: -

On 03 June 2015, FII Bought INR – 727.61 crs and DII Bought INR 412.66 crs
Another crash on Dalal Street and it hit a low at 8094. I booked my short on my expected levels itself. Chart patterns have destroyed all hopes of any sustainable recovery. I took a long near the low of 8100 levels. I am expecting some bounce due to sharp selloff.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a flat start. Then we can expect technical support at 8100-8080 levels if any further fall comes. I have no idea how long this recovery can continue. I am waiting for such signal. It is my anticipation that it can face a logical resistance at 8200 levels. Things are not suitable for betting investment deal at these levels.
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Strategy for Nifty June future – I am long from near to 8100 lows which I have forwarded for the day. I am expecting technical levels of 8200 or nearby. Technical support will offered at 8100-8080 levels. We can think for this recovery to sustain for opening or first half at least. Rest depends on intraday development. I will plan to exit my long even if mild sell signal emerges.

S&P 500 (USA) – It is expected same old movement. Technically this choppy move may be the part of topping formation. I do not think that we can see decisive trading opportunity here. My waiting is longer than expected for a strong short signal. I have no problem; I will wait with my patience. I retain my view that a big crash is close. A possible crash can signal as big as 1900-1800 levels. 

04 June 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: TATAMOTORS, SBIN and HEXAWARE

TATAMOTORS (456.85)
Buy above 461/SL 457/ Target 467-472 || Sell below 449/ SL 454/ Target 440-435

SBIN (257.40)
Buy above 254/SL 256/Target 250-248 ||Sell below 260/ SL 258/ Target 265-267

HEXAWARE (276.10)

Buy above 279/SL 277/Target 284-286||Sell below 274/ SL 276/ Target 270-268

Wednesday, 3 June 2015

03 June 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: A forced rate cut by RBI spoiled market mood. I like to book my short near 8150 support levels.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 03 June 2015: -

On 02 June 2015, FII Bought INR – 594.14 crs and DII Bought INR 271.64 crs
Well, what has happened yesterday? I have predicted for 25 bps rate cut and also predicated for fall below 8400 on Nifty Future. It went in the same way and we capitalized full 180 points of fall. I need your attention towards rate cut even. Is RBI really working as cheer leader for Modi Government? It seems so. It was very clear that rate cut decision came under pressure. How can one say that inflation will go higher but I am giving you rate cut. More over monsoon forecast is also below normal. GDP figure? Current GDP data has lesser reality. Rise in GDP is just because of change in base year.
When it comes to trade I just keep all above mentioned factors at one side.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a flat to negative start. Have you feel support at 8339 levels? No? It was 200 DMA supports which have just broken without any notice. I hold my shorts on Index. Technically, I am expecting a move towards 8150 to 8100 levels.  
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Strategy for Nifty June future – We did not do much. Just added short @ 8405 in just very first minutes and then closed our eye from watch terminal. I just followed my technical blindly to make good gain. I am still short and I have planned to book some profit if I see this market going choppy. My possible support is 8160 to 8140 where I like to close my short. Note that I have no plan to buy yet.

S&P 500 (USA) – This is oscillation in the range of 2100. We saw a low of 2099 and then a bounce but still closed negative. This is seventh month of choppy trades in US indices. I consider this phase as a phase of consolidation for long term top formation. I still not found a concrete sell signal to trade but I see a possible washout on US index by this month. Below 2095, we may see the beginning. 

03 June 2015: Stock Chart Analysis for intraday: SBIN, YESBANK and ITC

SBIN (266.25)
Buy above 271/SL 269/ Target 275 || Sell below 265/ SL 267/ Target 259-257

YESBANK (845.70)
Buy above 854/SL 848/Target 865 ||Sell below 843/ SL 849/ Target 830-824

ITC (318.65)

Buy above 321/SL 319/Target 325||Sell below 317/ SL 319/ Target 313-310