Wednesday, 27 September 2023

NIFTY 27 SEPTEMBER 2023 : I say, as long as 19600 holds we can hope for recovery but unless it breaks it will be choppy.

 


Hello everyone, 

So far the market is dead near support of 19600 levels. There are a few important points to notice for today's trade. Be optimistic only till it holds 19600 levels. 

If it breaks 19600 then we can hope for 19500 to 19450 levels. On the higher side, we can see stiff resistance emerging at 19740 to 19760 levels. 

It is very much possible that Nifty has entered the zone of consolidation and we can expect choppy trades still next month.

Happy trading. 

Tuesday, 26 September 2023

NIFTY 26 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Failure of recovery will cost Nifty now. You can expect levels of 19500 to 19450. Resistance 19740.

 


Welcome everyone, 

If you look at the chart you can observe that right now Nifty is running at its crucial Fibonacci levels. Yesterday it took a "U" turn from 19600 and then recovered well but gave immediately. The scenario suggests that if this breaks 19600 levels then it can march towards 19459. So I am taking the target range as 19500 to 19450. 

Unless it goes above 19740, no bounce is safe. I have already anticipated earlier on the failure at 20200+, not to expect on the bullish side for the next month. 

Happy trading


Monday, 25 September 2023

NIFTY 25 SEPTEMBER 2023: If goes below 19650 then it will prepare for 19500. If sustain for bounce then you can expect 19800.

 


Hello, Nifty is almost in a break situation. I have shown two possibilities in the above chart. First is, if a bounce comes then it can take the Nifty to 19800 levels with strong support at 19600. It is based on fibonacci retrechment. Hope it comes true. 

Alter way, purely based on the candle pattern, If it starts trading below 19650 and sustains then Nifty can go to hit 19500 levels. Intensity can be sharp and this can be achieved by today itself. 

Stock to watch - LT and TCS for long deal. 

Happy trading, 

Praveen kumar

Friday, 22 September 2023

NIFTY 22 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Expecting a day of bounce after price correction of 500 points from ATH. Support @ 19700.

 


Hello, 

        It has saved 19700 marks which was important. We saw a 500-point correction in just 4 days of trades from ATH. So far, it looks healthy. I must say to remain intact in rally mode Nifty must save 19700 support levels else it can go sidewise 

Suppose, if we see a reversal pattern today on the EOD chart then it can be another phase of rally and perhaps we are on the bottom of this. Today's closing will have a lot of meaning. One can expect a strong reversal day with a gain of around 150 points on Nifty. 

Stock to watch for trading opportunities on the long side are - LT, ACC, and TATAMOTORS. 

Happy trading, 

Praveen Kumar


Thursday, 21 September 2023

NIFTY 21 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Look like market will undergo consolidation mode for few days. Intraday support at 19830.

 

Hello, above is the explanation based on which I said 20200 is a crucial level. Nifty has respected and fallen down but falls with a gap down. In normal conditions, this kind of setup indicates a short-term top. 

So the question is what next?

For today, have a watch on 19830 as support and it is looking to see another gap down as indicated by SGXNIfty. My point is simple either it will try to revive from 19830 or it will fall by another 100 points. Bulls and investors should be careful at this kind of level. At least, do not add fresh stock here.  

Today is derivative expiry so you can expect lots of noise on chart. For more update, follow me on my twitter account. 

Thursday, 14 September 2023

NIFTY 14 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Either 100 points brutally up or 100 points brutally down. This is going to be a nasty expiry with high volatility.

 


Hello, this is the first expiry above 20000 marks. Another fact is that it is going to be expiry near at all time high. I assume that there can be lot of stuck positions waiting to be covered. This can make the market volatile to highly volatile. I am not saying that range can be big but it will run with lots of odd swings. This can kill option traders. 

Let us talk about the technical aspect. There is nothing to suggest that it can be corrected. Above 20120 you can expect 20200 kinds of levels. Remember, at ATH, it will be in a resistance-free zone. In the down side we can see lot of technical supports, one is at 20040 and then 20000 marks itself. I can repeat that as long as Nifty is above 19910 levels, it will remain in the firm grip of bulls with buyers waiting at lower levels. 

Option traders, be carefull today and have a nice & profitable trading session. 

Wednesday, 13 September 2023

NIFTY 13 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Life at 20000 Nifty is still showing some life. As long as it holds 19910 levels, we cannot expect any remarkable profit taking.

 


Hello traders, 

I found the above 15-minute chart more interesting as patterns are clear in it. It defines the importance of 19010 support levels. I firmly believe that it is not going to be bearish from the top so easily. 

Equally, the chances of profit taking is still there. On the higher side, we can have two important resistances, one is at 20040 and then at 20110. Support, if it breaks 19910 then we expect 19800 levels in a very short time. 

Take note that whenever support breaks then prefer to short on bull back. It is very likely to see odd moves in the market now. 

Tuesday, 12 September 2023

NIFTY 12 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Finally Nifty is on the psychological level of 20000. Least chance of any remarkable price correction. It can extend more.

 


Hello, first of congratulations of 20000 on Nifty. 

What is coming next is the big question. In my view, 20000 is an important technical landmark on the chart. So far, things are good, and looking for further extension of this rally. Pure technicals are giving the target of 22000 for Nifty in the medium term, may be in 4 to 6 months. 

Immediately I am not expecting any good chance of price correction. There can be time correction Intraday support will be at 19930 levels and on the higher side 20100 to 20150 can be the possibility that we can think about. 

Correction can hit only if it stand below 20000 marks and breaks 19930 levels. 

Monday, 11 September 2023

NIFTY 11 SEPTEMBER 2023 : I am expecting Nifty to retest its All-Time-High levels. Key support is at 19750 to 19700 zone.

 


Hello everyone!!!

This is going to be another exciting week of trading. So far, we have seen a gain of almost 600 points in the past six trading sessions. Momentum remains stronger. Just based on the daily chart of Nifty is looks like we are going to see 20000 marks this week itself. Although I am not suggesting fresh entry on long in hurry. One should use dip. 

So, what is here for bears now? Fine, I must say that even if fall comes it will more or less be the surprise deal. Still unexpected is nothing. One can expect that near 19900 levels we can see some resistance emerging. I will not look for a side trade. So, as long as Nifty is above 19700, I will look for the opportunity to buy only. 

A word of caution is also advisable at this kind of level. Let us see where they will market give us a chance to enter intraday. 


Wednesday, 6 September 2023

NIFTY 07 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Looking like an explosive upside is coming today. As long as it is above 19600, it may attempt levels like 19700 to 19800.

 Hello, I must say that when Nifty was saving 19250 and unable to close below 19250, that was a sign that the market may refuse to go down. I was not expecting that. Now, it has closed above 19600 with furious strong hourly chandle. Here is the chart - 


On the other hand, Band Bollinger is about to expand now. This may be the first hint that Nifty may challenge ATH sooner. 

Band Bollinger and MACD are giving buy how can I think to short now. Unexpected in nothing in the market but as of now things are looking rosy for bulls before expiry. The only thing is that if a gap up comes then it can test the patience for not to trade. Make a perfect entry on the long side. Bears should ignore the day. 
Have a nice and profitable trading day,
Praveen Kumar


Tuesday, 5 September 2023

NIFTY 06 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Have an eye on 19600. Cross over can give us good rise. Consider support around 19500 levels now.

 Hello, I am going to present views based on two charts. One is a Nifty daily chart and the other is an hourly chart. Let us first discuss the daily chart conclusion. 


Referring to the above chart, this rise came from the support of 50 SMA. Normally, this is confirmation that the market is taking support. Let us assume that Nifty took support. Now, the most impressive is MACD setup right now. This is the factor that I cannot ignore and gives the edge to bulls. Another assumption is that suppose if Nifty starts hitting the upper band of Bollinger band then this rise can go sharper. Well, that condition has yet to fulfill. 

Now, let us discuss Nifty hourly chart where we have just wing swings. 

Well, 19600 is the level which is almost 50% retrenchment against fall. This should be the breakpoint to convince bulls to emerge stronger. As long as it is close and below this level, caution is needed. The way it has closed in the last session it is very much visible that buyers are present at lower support levels. Remember, on Monday it took support at 19430, and on Tuesday it took support at 19520. Based on the hourly chart, I suggest 19600 as the crucial break point. 
So, now what is left for bears?
Unless Nifty goes below 19500, do not attempt shorting from any levels. If fall comes then it will definitely will be a surprise. 




NIFTY 05 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Active resistance is at 19530 and then at 19580-19600. Expect fall from higher resistance.

 


Very good morning and Happy Teacher's Day. 

What happened yesterday was a perfect example of the retest of support and bounce. What I feel now is that it can take a dip from higher levels. This higher level should be the most meaningful resistance around 19580 to 19600. I must add that there can be the possibility of overshoot and it can go up to 19630 if momentum hits. 

In the lower side support in the zone of 19420 to 19400. I still believe that the market is denying fall but it should come to hit 18800 levels with N line support at 19250. We need close below 19250. 

Let us see how market shape up today. Do join me on twitter for my live updates 

Monday, 4 September 2023

NIFTY 04 SEPTEMBER 2023 : Likely resistance for Nifty is at 19480 to 19500. Unless it goes strong above 19500, it can see dip again.

 


Friday's bounce is another attempt by the bulls to save support. It moved too far and went above 19400 levels. I see a threat unless it goes strong above 19500 levels. Support has been tested too many times and hence it must be weaker now. 

For today's trade, one can expect higher opening but then I will look for an opportunity to short at higher levels on suitable signal. My stop loss will be just above 19500 levels. Where is support, immediate intraday support at 19400 levels itself which can be easily broken as it is not the most meaningful figure. 

In short, the market is not safe to buy. Let us see. Traders must wait and watch for some stong candle pattern to emerge near resistance to short. 

Friday, 1 September 2023

NIFTY 01 SEPTEMBER 2023 : If closing goes below 19250 then we have good chance of hitting levels of 18800 in next 20 trading sessions.

 


The chart speaks louder than the words. So far, we have seen a 23.60% retracement of the whole recent rally. More than that, we saw multiple hits of support which made the Nifty chart weaker. If it breaks 19250 on a closing basis then we can expect the next good support at 18800 levels which is going to be my target. 

September may not be good for investors, although this will provide a better entry point for them if they book stocks at a higher price.