07 August 2025 : Nifty 50 Shows Falling Wedge and RSI Divergence – Is a Bounce Coming?
The Nifty 50 index has shown a sharp corrective phase over the past few sessions, falling from the 25,600+ zone to test key support levels near 24,400. A detailed technical chart reveals multiple critical patterns such as a Diamond Top, Head & Shoulders breakdown, and a Falling Wedge accompanied by RSI bullish divergence. This sets up the potential for a short-term bounce, but with caution. Let’s explore the setup for August 7, 2025.
Key Technical Patterns
- Diamond Top near 25,600 signaled reversal and initiated selling.
- Head & Shoulders breakdown confirmed with neckline violation.
- Falling Wedge structure forms as price approaches support.
- RSI Divergence: RSI making higher lows while price makes lower lows.
Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Value (₹) |
|---|---|
| Immediate Support | 24,400 |
| Resistance 1 | 24,900 |
| Resistance 2 | 25,200 |
Option Strategy for August 7, 2025
- Sell 24,200 PE @ ₹46
- Sell 24,800 CE @ ₹74
- Net Premium Collected: ₹120
- Breakeven Range: 24,114 – 24,886
This neutral strategy benefits if Nifty stays within the wedge structure and consolidates near 24,400–24,800. You can add protection at 200 points of each leg.
Suggested Trade Table
| Trade Type | Strike | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Put | 24,200 PE | ₹46 |
| Sell Call | 24,800 CE | ₹76 |
Trader Psychology & Moving Averages
Many traders are trapped above 25,000. The emotional stress may result in panic exits or defensive short-covering, especially near 24,400. Moving averages (20 EMA and 50 EMA) are both sloping downward, reflecting short-term weakness. However, a bullish crossover may emerge if RSI divergence plays out.
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📌 Conclusion
The Nifty 50 is approaching a critical juncture near 24,400. Technical formations hint at a potential bounce, but broader trend weakness remains. A well-planned option strategy can help navigate this volatility. Stay alert for RSI signals and confirmation of wedge breakout.
Labels: Nifty 50 Analysis, Falling Wedge, Option Strategy, RSI Divergence, Diamond Top, August 2025, Head and Shoulders, Technical Chart, Market Psychology
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