26 June 2025 : "Nifty 50 Expiry Week Trade Plan: Key Levels, Option Data, and Pullback Strategy | 26–27 June 2025
Nifty 50 Expiry Week Trade Plan (26–27 June 2025)
Indian stock market witnessed a sharp 200-point rally today as Nifty 50 closed at 25,244.75. This decisive breakout above 25,100 resistance has reignited bullish sentiment among traders. However, technical indicators suggest a possible pullback before any fresh upside rally. In this blog, we present a comprehensive expiry week trade setup based on RSI, MACD, option chain data, FII-DII positions, and PCR readings.
- RSI: 60.94 — nearing overbought territory
- MACD: Bearish crossover, histogram neutral
- Option Chain: Max CE OI at 25500, Max PE OI at 25000
- PCR: 1.07 — mildly bullish
- FII-DII Derivative Data: FIIs remain net long in index futures, cautious in stock futures
Nifty Expiry Week Trade Plan (26–27 June 2025)
| Scenario | Entry Level | Stop Loss | Target | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh Long on Dips | 25100–25150 | 24980 | 25350–25450 | Trendline and Put base |
| Aggressive Long Breakout | Above 25500 (30 min sustain) | 25380 | 25680–25750 | Volume confirmed breakout only |
| Scalp Short | 25450–25500 zone | 25580 | 25150–25100 | If RSI > 68 and price rejects |
| Positional Long SL | Hold above 24980 | — | Trail as per move | Break below invalidates trend |
Conclusion & Caution:
Overall market trend remains bullish with strong support seen at 25100 and 25000 for expiry week. However, technical indicators like RSI nearing overbought and MACD divergence suggest a 60–65% chance of a mild pullback towards 25100–25150 before another upmove. Traders should stay cautious around the 25450–25500 resistance zone. If Nifty faces rejection here with high RSI readings, a quick profit booking dip may emerge.
Risk Warning: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Derivatives trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
📌 Labels:
Nifty 50, Nifty Expiry Strategy, Nifty Option Chain, Indian Stock Market, Nifty Technical Analysis, FII DII Data, Nifty PCR, Expiry Week Setup, Nifty Support and Resistance
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