18 June 2025 : Nifty 50 Technical Analysis and Option Strategy for 19 June 2025 Expiry | FII DII Data | Key Levels | Trade Plan

Nifty 50 staged a sharp recovery from lower levels but faces critical resistance ahead. Here’s a detailed technical and derivative data-driven outlook for the 19 June 2025 expiry, including moving averages, RSI, MACD, FII-DII activity, option chain, and a potential option trading strategy. 

Nifty 50 closed at 24,841.50 on 17 June 2025, a mild correction after testing 25,222.40 highs. With Gift Nifty trading near 25,050, the stage is set for a crucial 19 June weekly expiry. This post covers complete technical analysis, option chain data, FII-DII activity, PCR insights, and an expiry day option strategy with a table-ready trade plan.

Technical Indicator Insights:

• RSI (14): 44.94 — recovered from oversold, neutral-bearish zone
• MACD: Negative with slight positive crossover attempt
• Moving Averages: 20 EMA support at 24,830, 50 SMA acting as resistance
• Trendline: Break and retest zone near 24,800-24,850

Option Chain Data (19 June 2025):

• Highest OI Call: 25,200 CE
• Highest OI Put: 24,800 PE
• Put Call Ratio (PCR): 0.91
• 19 June Option Data Highlights

FII-DII Activity:

• FII: Net buyers in index futures, buyers in options
• DII: Net buyers in cash market

Trade Setup & Option Strategy:

Option Strategy: Bull Call Spread

Bull Call Spread:

• Buy 24,900 CE @ ₹76
• Sell 25,200 CE @ ₹13

Max Profit: ₹237
Max Loss: ₹63
Breakeven: 24,963

 Trade Table

Words of Caution: Nifty faces heavy resistance at 25,200. Fresh longs should be protected with a stop-loss. A clean breakout only above this level is advised.

The expiry day setup shows range-bound to slightly positive bias with 24,800 as strong support and 25,200 as critical resistance. Moving averages, RSI, MACD hint at a possible upside push, but option data warns of heavy CE positions at 25,200. Trade cautiously.

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