Nifty 50 Analysis from Your Chart (20 May 2025, 15:08) - Can it break 24600???? This is decisive. No short from lows.
Key Observations:
Current Price:
- Nifty at 24,672.20 (-1.1%)
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Significant drop from intraday high around 24,737
Trendline Support:
- A rising trendline starting from early April lows is intact.
- Price is currently testing this trendline, and a breakdown below this could trigger further downside.
Horizontal Levels:
- Immediate horizontal support around 24,670 — exactly where it’s trading now.
- Next horizontal resistance around 25,020–25,070, which it failed to sustain previously.
Price Structure:
- Market made a series of higher highs and higher lows till mid-May.
- Now forming a potential descending top structure within a larger uptrend — signaling caution
RSI Indicator (at bottom):
- Currently near 40–45 levels.
- RSI previously bounced near these levels in April.
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If RSI breaks 40 decisively, momentum weakness will deepen.
What This Implies for 24,600 Break
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If this rising trendline (around 24,670) breaks decisively on closing basis:
- Expect a quick slide towards 24,500–24,420 zone.
- Given weak RSI and multiple rejections at higher levels, probability of a test towards 24,500 is increasing.
- If it holds and rebounds:
It must reclaim 24,800–24,850 on strength to reattempt 25,000–25,100.
- Otherwise, upside remains capped.
Option Data Matchup
- Heavy OI unwinding at 24,600 CE and 24,700 CE suggests bulls backing off those levels.
- Which syncs with this chart showing price struggling at these exact points.
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