Nifty 50 Analysis from Your Chart (20 May 2025, 15:08) - Can it break 24600???? This is decisive. No short from lows.

 

Key Observations:

Current Price:

  • Nifty at 24,672.20 (-1.1%)
  • Significant drop from intraday high around 24,737

Trendline Support:

  • A rising trendline starting from early April lows is intact.
  • Price is currently testing this trendline, and a breakdown below this could trigger further downside.
Horizontal Levels:

  • Immediate horizontal support around 24,670 — exactly where it’s trading now.
  • Next horizontal resistance around 25,020–25,070, which it failed to sustain previously.

Price Structure:

  • Market made a series of higher highs and higher lows till mid-May.
  • Now forming a potential descending top structure within a larger uptrend — signaling caution
RSI Indicator (at bottom):

  • Currently near 40–45 levels.
  • RSI previously bounced near these levels in April.
  • If RSI breaks 40 decisively, momentum weakness will deepen.

What This Implies for 24,600 Break

  • If this rising trendline (around 24,670) breaks decisively on closing basis:

  • Expect a quick slide towards 24,500–24,420 zone.
  • Given weak RSI and multiple rejections at higher levels, probability of a test towards 24,500 is increasing.
  • If it holds and rebounds:
It must reclaim 24,800–24,850 on strength to reattempt 25,000–25,100.
  • Otherwise, upside remains capped.

Option Data Matchup

  • Heavy OI unwinding at 24,600 CE and 24,700 CE suggests bulls backing off those levels.
  • Which syncs with this chart showing price struggling at these exact points.

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I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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