12 February 2018: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Time for bounce but bounce may fail at top. Either at 10600 or at 10735.


You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

Analysis 12 February 2018: -
On 09 February 2018: FII Net Sold – 1351.700 INR Crs:  DII Net Bought – INR – 588.42 Crs
The bounce which came from 10270 was overdone in very short time frame. Right now it is well placed for the next bounce as closing was around 10470 levels. Fibonacci levels are already suggesting for those bounce. Technical bounce can have life till 10735 levels with intermediate resistance at 10600 levels. I am not very aggressive for long but soft longs may be the deal for the week.
For today’s trading session, market may open on positive note backed by stronger than expected global cues. Technical support will have meaning only at 10270. Other supports may not have great strength. I am still warning from some unprecedented move in the market. Sooner or later, it may try to settle at 10000 levels before next leg of fall.
Investment point of view, I have already suggested from December onwards to avoid pumping fresh money in the market as this rise cannot extend more. Remember, every rise is not the opportunity to invest or trading. It’s better to be safer sometime.
Strategy for Nifty February future – it is likely to open around 10480 levels as suggested by SGX Nifty. Nifty may have trading support at 10400 levels. Take a note that trading range is still wide so volatility may not rule out. I am hoping for 10600 on higher side after some zigzag moves.
BANK NIFTY February future – This index has some stronger warning side. It does not matter how much it can recover but signs of doubts will always be here. Technical support is at 25000 levels with a hope for 26000+ levels. It is going to be uncertain 1000 points of range. Simply, avoid this index. Avoid long on Banking stocks too.

I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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