Wednesday, 24 June 2015

24 June 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: A day before expiry, advising caution near 8400. A reversal is very much possible.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 24 June 2015: -

On 23 June 2015, FII Sold INR – 374.97 crs and DII Bought INR 404.20 crs
Heading towards derivative expiry market has closed positive for eight days in a row. This is the time when confidence must go less to hold long. Buying for fresh is just not easy. We can expect to emerge at current levels sooner. If rise comes then it may be just a expiry factor. It is hard to say that anymore short has left in this market after almost 450 points of rise in past eight trading session.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a resistance to emerge at 8400 levels. It may open flat only. Technical support can be only at 8330-8300 levels. I am advising strong caution due to expiry. Charts may not have that great sign of caution yet but Fibonacci sequence is giving strong hint for reversal.
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Strategy for Nifty July future – I am not suggesting any trade as of now. If I have a chance then I will pick trades on short side only. Technical support is at 8350 only. Break below 8350 will cause a slip towards 8280 levels in quick succession. Trade less and small quantity due to uncertainty.

S&P 500 (USA) – I can keep analysis same as of yesterday. Core is that it has turned shy again near 2135 resistance zone. Will it try to break? I doubt. I still stick on my point that US market has no big room for rise and it is under a long term top formation. Even SPX VIX is justifying the views from past few months. Only thing which is saving market is that market-men are not ready to give up but they will give up sooner or later. Expect a down week. 

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