Tuesday, 23 June 2015

23 June 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: On expiry week, caution advised. Technical resistance to emerge in zone of 8400, here and there !!! Today is Eighth day from recent low of 7940 !!!

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 23 June 2015: -

On 22 June 2015, FII Bought INR – 651.31 crs and DII Sold INR 94.03 crs
We saw seven days of positive closing sessions in a row. Today is eighth day of trade. Based on Fibonacci sequence, eighth day is vital for trend reversal if it used to be unidirectional. So today’s trading is crucial before expiry. Equally, as we have derivative expiry so market may feel expiry pressure too. I feel that recent gain has good contribution from a fact that market were in down mood from past two months.
For today’s trading session, I am expecting a resistance to emerge at 8400 levels. Beyond this technical resistance we may expect short covering based rise. Such chances are not so bright but cannot deny. In the down side we can expect technical support in the range of 8280. Even if it has to go on reversal mode, we may see a choppy session as long as it is above 8280. It means that weakness can govern only if it stay below 8280.
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Strategy for Nifty June future – I am not suggesting any trade as of now. We are near to expiry and market has already taken a big unidirectional move. Technically Nifty June month future has resistance 8390-8400 levels. Above this threshold we can expect expiry based up move. I am talking about short covering rise.
S&P 500 (USA) – Yesterday, it hit top around 2129 and then slipped from high point but still manages to close with good gain. Core is that it has turned shy again near 2135 resistance zone. Will it try to break? I doubt. I still stick on my point that US market has no big room for rise and it is under a long term top formation. Even SPX VIX is justifying the views from past few months. Only thing which is saving market is that market-men are not ready to give up but they will give up sooner or later. Expect a down week. 

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