Wednesday 25 February 2015

25 February 2015: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Before expiry 8730 will play as crucial support on Nifty. Expect wildness before budget now.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.

For 25 February 2015: -
On 24 February 2015, FII Bought INR 697.28 crs and DII Sold INR 146.98 crs
I took yesterday’s close as zero percent change. These kinds of moves are suggesting that market is clueless about budget. If not then also it is not prepared to see any big rise at least. At one time it had given hope for 9000 but those fed away with 50% retrenchment.
Yesterday’s low of 8726 was around the given support of 8730 which was mentioned in pre-market analysis. Even after index fall there are stocks which are running budget hopes, like ADANIENT, BHEL etc. this is suggesting that budget may give something. Note that stocks and charts used to sense news earlier than it comes.
For today’s trading session, one can expect flat to positive opening. Immediate technical support will emerge at 8730 levels. On higher side cross above 8800 may act as stiff trading resistance. Do expect wild moves today. Expiry effect will add more volatility now.
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Strategy for Nifty March future – Opening may go around 8850 levels. Technical support will emerge at 8820 and then at 8780. I expect fall to extend if it can sustain below 8780. Note that nothing is impossible in this market. Many times it has given up in just few minutes. Trade less is the key.  

S&P 500 (USA) – It is slow but steady above 2100 levels. This is in line with expectation. I strongly warn from any kind of buying at these higher levels. Based on technical charts, I still believe for a move towards 2145 but this should be ignored for trade for good reasons. This may be last 1-2% rise from current levels. As long as it is above 2100, there is no reason to be bearish either. 

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