NIFTY weekly analysis for 12 January’15 to 16 January’15


Elliott wave theory: 5th wave is still intact on weekly chart. It is suggesting for a final move in this wave sooner. Trend is up with key support running near 8200-8150 levels for this week. I advise caution for higher levels for this week. Caution advised if Nifty comes near 8445 levels. Let us see.

Market cycle: Historically, first two weeks of January used to be bullish. So far, trend goes in the same way. I hope that we may have some more upside after some consolidation. Question is – Will this time a final top come in first two month of the year itself? A blow up top is expected.

Technical indicators: It has crossed above 8335 and then a shoot up 8445+ levels. Technical indicators are still not very concerning. Above 8445 we may see run away rise towards 8600+.


Charting pattern: Charting support will emerge at 8300 levels. As long as it is above 8300 levels we can expect this to up tend to continue. Trend seems to be up and this is buy in dip market but add word of caution on crucial resistances. 
I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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