NIFTY weekly analysis for 08 September’14 to 12 September’14


Elliott wave theory: I need to draw your attention towards a fact that a wave cannot said to be violated as long as it remains in the channel formed by corrective wave ‘2’. So, very clearly weekly wave trend is up. Now, we left with a possibility of forming top sooner.

Market cycle: We saw four weeks of back to back rise. Last time we saw five week gain was in May 2013. We all know what has happened after that.  We saw more than 1000 points of correction.

Technical indicators: MACD and RSI are growing with negative divergence. This is alarming. This is prime reason that I am advising strong caution.

Charting pattern: I always listen this factor and try to gives higher weightage as its only and only price which pays in market. Charts are saying that as long we are above 7860-8000, we are bound to see higher levels. Above 8150, it can see levels of 8240 before forming any final top. 
I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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