27 June 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: New series will open on weak note. Last and final hope for Nifty spot will be at 7440. If it breaks 7440 then we will see another round of selling. Technical resistance = 7525-7550!!!

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.
For 27 June 2014: -



On 26 June 2014, FII Sold INR 601.89 crs and DII Bought INR 170.92 crs
I have updated for the support at 7500 and 7485 during market hours. We saw sell off continue till end and hitting 7485. Next, question is where next technical levels are. Charts have some clear message for trading. We have technical support at 7440. This must be last hope for short term up trend. If it breaks and sustain below 7440 then we can see a drag towards 7300 also.
It is interesting to note that Nifty has closed below 20 DMA supports which are at 7525. In fact, it hit sharp sell off yesterday when it broke 7525. So, it was meaningful break below 7525. Hence, 7525 will act as stiff trading resistance for today’ trading session. As long as it is below 7525 we cannot expect any good recovery in index. Simply, bears will have upper hand below 7525.
For today’s trading technical support will be at 7440 and resistance will be at 7525 and 7550 levels. If it breaks 7440 then one can expect sharp selling. It may turn in to panic selling too. Believe it or not but market does not like few deferred decision by Modi’s government. If selling continues in gas stocks then things can be ugly. Weak monsoon will be a catalyst for weakness in market if it breaks 7440.
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Strategy for Nifty July future – Nifty July future should open near 7530 and then immediate trading support should emerge at 7500 levels. If it sustain below 7500 then things will turn alarming. 7500 may act as last hope as ‘make or break’ levels. On higher side 7575-7580 will act as stiff trading resistance. Today is first day of new series.

S&P 500 (USA) – It was said yesterday that I want trade below 1945 to conclude for weakness. It hit 1945 and bounces and so things remain same again. S&P may not be useful instrument to trade in the range of 1945 to 1970. Well, it is equally true that I am wrong on my ‘summer correction’ call. It never came and there is no such sign yet. Technical indicators are moving with negative divergence and I am waiting for decisive signal. Once again, keep your eye on 1945.  
I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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