11 February 2014: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: 6075-6095 is still challenging resistance. Trading support can emerge near 6000. Dull days are expected to continue.

You must read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this article completely.



For 11 February 2014: -
On 10 February 2014, FII Bought INR 455.18 crs and DII Bought INR 294.89 crs
FIIs are constantly selling cash market. They sold nearly 6000 crs since 24 January 2014. We are 5 days away from the Nifty bottom at 5933 but FIIs has hardly bought any recovery. Is it concerning now? Yes, it can be. Normal pattern suggests that till now they should have participated. It seems that money flow is sensing another bottom to form.
If we compare the percent recovery in Indian market and US market then we found that recovery is lesser so far in Indian market. It’s not new. It’s a well-known pain of Indian market. We can blame just banking sector for their performance. I am already skeptical about this sector. As long as those remains below 10350-10400 levels we cannot count for any sign of recovery. This is just a pause.
Banks put additional pressure on Nifty. Technical charts are still suggesting for still resistance zone at 6075 to 6095 levels. In the lower side, 6026 to 6000 can act as good trading support.
We cannot deny the possibility of indecisive trade today. We were bullish on stocks like Tata Steel earlier but now few banks and financial stocks are turning weaker. We may try to find the opportunity to trade on short side on banks and financial depending on intraday signals.
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Strategy for Nifty February future – I have a view that I will act on fresh long only if it can bale to surpass 6115. It has failed again yesterday too. It is now near 6060 levels. This says that it is significantly away from resistance of 6115. Expect resistance to emerge near 6090 too for trading. It seems to be a directionless day today. Global cues are also sluggish. Recovery looks tired now. Failure of 6115 is not a good sign at all. This can convert in to weakness anytime again. It is just a view so far not a call.
S&P 500 (USA) – I have said for yesterday that Fibonacci time frame suggests me a dead day today. It came true and Indices closed almost unchanged. I am still feeling that litmus test of this recovery is very close which is at 50 DMA. 1809 is the levels where S&P is going to get stiff resistance. It is beyond the scope of prediction if it can able to cross. I want this to happen to add fresh long. Suppose if it fails and try to make a top then it can be a short from 1809. Let us wait for market to react at 1809. This reaction can come either today or tomorrow.
Regards,
Praveen Kumar


I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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