12 September 2013: Nifty Elliott wave analysis: Technical resistance is at 5940 and 5960. It may act as ‘make or break’ levels. Do not speculate, it is better to watch first for some decisive signal of reversal.
You must
read previous articles and watch the given chart carefully to understand this
article completely.
For 12
September 2013: -
On 11
September 2013, FII Bought INR 586.50 crs and DII Sold INR 386.12 crs
I am not
surprised with this kind of buy figures by FII in cash market as they used to
buy heavily near top. When Nifty was near 5200, they were selling heavily. So far,
bull’s intensity continues even after sharpest 15% rally of Indian history.
To be
honest, I still want to be bullish but for caution I exited my entire long. I am
following basic theory of this market that we should not be greedy. Nothing looks
bad if we are exiting after 800 points of rise on nifty. Technical charts are
saying for resistance at 5940-5960 zones which I had already mentioned
yesterday too. Cross over of 5960 will generate fresh momentum. After 800
points of rise, it seems that we are almost at a newer ‘make or break’ levels. There
is some development of ‘negative divergence’ on hourly RSI. It is not very
strong divergence in nature yet. We still need to wait for more trading
signals.
Visit
again to read my intraday updates as I can update about those only during
market hours.
Strategy
for Nifty September future – SGX Nifty is
giving a hint for flat to positive start as of now. Technical resistance is at
5960-5970 levels. It is equally true that crossover can give as high as
6030-6090 levels too. Suppose, if it fails then we can see decisive dip. It may
break lower. We have small negative divergence on hourly chart and VIX is also
not very supportive. Caution required.
S&P
500
– I was expected 1684 to 1690 once it has crossed 1660. It is exactly coming at
1690 now. We need to note that crossover of 1690 will generate the possibility of
“Newer all time high”. It is not looking very comfortable on charts as MACD has
big negative divergence. So far it is no trade at 1690. Just be silent and exit
all long. Just like, I said earlier to exit all short at 1630.
Regards,
Praveen
Kumar
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