NIFTY 07 May'12:Explanation why it was said not to short @5000-4980? A dot support @ 4986. It can recover as long as it hold.



In my morning updates I quoted NOT to short in the zone of 5000-4980
It hit a low at 4990 and rebounded a little. 

Nifty has few respected levels, one such was 5080 which has violated on last Friday and then technicicans were in search of the next. 

I cannot say if fall is over or not but I can say that one should expect a rebound. We might have soft magnitude. 

Where we are on Elliott wave theory. We have seen a recent low at 5136 before breaking those levels on Friday. The first upmove from 5136 went up to 5379 and then we have seen the fall. In between it has formed triple corrective pattern but kept on saving 5136 each time before decisive break. 

Hence the wave that has retreched now is a up wave from 5136 to 5379. It is retreching from top of 5379 (which I assumed)

Hence 1.618 time must be the meaningful support. It comes at 4986. 
(Few of you are intrested in Mathemetics too. |5379-5136=243 pts||243*1.618=393 pts||5379-393=4986|

Hence we rebound. If you are happy then I must update you something in advance that if this wave see further retrechnement then the next levels will be 2.618 times of 243. Which end up @ 4543. Well, do not worry about those as of now. 

Regards, 
Praveen Kumar
I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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