NIFTY – Small bounce may come but that will also not able to save fall.

Today’s view –

It has broken 5183 yesterday and tested a low of 5180.35. At the very same time Sensex has saved 17008 levels. It might have happened due to Infosys. I still feel that near to expiry we will see volatility. Charts are strongly suggesting that even small intraday rebound (Magnitude up to 5241 or 5259 or 5278) may not able to save fall in coming days.

We have countable 11 wave formation till now on above daily charts. Can we expect the formation of more such ranging wave? Well, it may create as big as 13 waves. Let us see.

My conclusion remains same but I am making few adjustments for today. Supports must be in the zone of 5180 to 5170. Break below 5170 will add panic towards 5135.

Am I completely bearish?
No, as we are in the ranging market of 150 points so as long as this range sustain we cannot take direction. If that’s true then we might be at the lower end of range.

So over all, trade short only on decisive breakdown. Sooner of later that has to come. There is no running away.   

If needed I will release intraday update too.

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Thanks & Regards,
Praveen Kumar
Mobile number – 09893369889
I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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