Nifty 18 April'12- Breakout @ 5307. Targets - 5338 < 5359 < 5379


I have already suggested very stronly to wait for the break of 5185 to short from lower side. It has saved and we have seen bounce. Close above 5274-5278 is very encouraging. Have a look on the chart given above. There is a strong possibility of breakout of supply line. Levels for breakout will be 5307 to 5311.

I must add that if Nifty start sustaining above 5307-5311 then you can expect a rise towards 5338 and then 5359.

You must keep these three figures in your mind after breakout.
5338 - 50 days moving average.
5359 - 38.20% of retracement from top.
5379 - Previous reversal point.

As of 17 April'12 closing at 5290, I am finding strong support at 5270.

I am also concluding that my previous given support of 5185 has worked very well and turnout as end point of wave 'C', which is excatly at 5183.50.

Charts are so far so good but I am not a very firm believer of this kind of breakout. I am expecting for 1-2 days of bounce before fall. I have already initiated long on index with conservative targets.

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Thanks & Regards,
Praveen Kumar
I’m Praveen Kumar, a seasoned Technical Analyst and stock market trader with over 25 years of experience in the Indian equity and derivatives markets. My passion for numbers and patterns led me to a dual career as a Mathematics Teacher and market technician. I specialize in Technical Analysis, with deep expertise in Elliott Wave Theory, derivatives strategies, and market forecasting. Over the years, my analysis and market views have been featured on NDTV Profit as a financial guest, along with published articles on reputed financial web portals, sharing insights on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stock market trends. As a trader and analyst, I focus on interpreting price action, chart patterns, wave counts, and technical indicators to deliver precise market levels and actionable trade ideas. My approach blends classical charting with modern analysis tools to help traders navigate market volatility. Through VieCapital, I aim to share daily market analysis, trading strategies, and educatio…
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